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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 79 Excitement5.6 [663] MVPBrian Grant (MIA): +10.4%
Miami Heat 85 Comeback1.4 [1033] LVPMalik Allen (MIA): -18.7%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Stewart0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Bimbo Coles-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Milt Palacio-0.090,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.020.02550%-0.042-0.066100%0.01
Dajuan Wagner-0.120,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.120.00-0.070.051957%-0.003-0.121173%-0.01
Jumaine Jones-0.130,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.040.00845%-0.053-0.08667%-0.01
Carlos Boozer-0.150,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.09-0.07-0.001347%-0.073-0.08650%-0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.18-0.02-0.031128%-0.104-0.07333%-0.04
Smush Parker-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.11-0.08-0.00647%-0.044-0.14786%0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brian Grant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.04-0.001064%0.1000.002100%0.02
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.030.011065%0.111-0.0300%0.00
Travis Best0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.011065%0.103-0.0600%0.00
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.010.00750%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.01850%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.03340%0.002-0.06450%0.01
Caron Butler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.010.011550%0.035-0.132100%0.00
Malik Allen0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.13-0.050.011433%-0.133-0.062100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.528.215.528.21.837.0136.5
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +48.2%
CLE -5.6%
CLE -7.4%
MIA +17.4%
CLE -2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEMIANBACLEMIANBA
this game15.115.215.584.088.5101.6
season15.116.394.694.6
opponent15.914.9100.7104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE15.915.014.814.715.1
MIA15.415.714.615.315.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeSagana Diop1916-0.03-0.470.440.00-1-5416.714.72.0215.715.10.54
Michael Stewart2122-0.03-0.470.43-0.030-6614.315.3-0.9514.115.6-1.43
Bimbo Coles2523-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-4216.114.71.4215.015.3-0.37
Milt Palacio5355-0.21-0.290.07-0.13-3-3014.915.3-0.3915.315.10.25
Smush Parker3837-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.16-5-1-415.814.61.2015.115.3-0.17
Dajuan Wagner8791-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.400-6614.620.7-6.0915.118.0-2.91
Zydrunas Ilgauskas6872-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.30-4-2-214.616.3-1.6515.215.3-0.07
Carlos Boozer8082-0.520.02-0.54-0.31-71-815.313.91.3515.513.91.53
Jumaine Jones7982-0.540.04-0.57-0.30-82-1015.015.4-0.3915.513.91.53

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Caron Butler75730.68-0.180.850.2714-82215.315.10.1215.314.21.08
Malik Allen64620.490.010.490.268-21014.915.8-0.9115.214.90.30
Mike James40400.360.140.220.0112-61815.115.3-0.2415.115.10.00
Eddie Jones77740.300.200.090.33-17-815.215.4-0.2314.517.2-2.70
Brian Grant72700.260.240.010.0860615.713.81.9314.915.6-0.74
LaPhonso Ellis56560.250.25-0.000.31-28-1015.015.6-0.6615.214.90.30
Travis Best56540.140.36-0.220.32-612-1815.315.10.2415.115.1-0.00
Eddie House40410.030.47-0.440.06-17-815.315.20.0615.714.61.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 103, POR 1130.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,194.6%
MIN 94, ATL 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.97,0.99,1,1,194.4%
CHI 73, LAL 860.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.9,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.89,0.95,1,1,1,1,194.3%