NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	116		Excitement	3.9 [1011]		MVP	Bob Sura (CLE): +12.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	127		Comeback	1.1 [877]		LVP	Jim Jackson (ATL): -8.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Henderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	11	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	6	61%	0.00	0	0.00	11	73%	0.01
Cal Bowdler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	5	47%	-0.01	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Isaiah Rider	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	20	52%	-0.01	4	-0.05	12	92%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.03	6	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	18	50%	-0.00	5	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.00	-0.06	15	63%	0.14	1	-0.01	8	50%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.01	-0.05	21	64%	0.16	5	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	61%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	6	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	18	49%	0.02	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	8	52%	0.01	2	-0.04	11	73%	0.00
Ryan Stack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
A.J. Bramlett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	35.2	15.7	35.2	1.8	34.4	149.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +39.0%

ATL -3.0%

CLE +0.3%

CLE +10.2%

CLE +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	13.4	12.9	15.2	105.5	116.5	101.7
season	15.4	14.1		99.3	98.0
opponent	15.3	15.2		101.5	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.0	13.3	14.4	11.0	13.4
CLE	11.1	13.4	12.3	14.8	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Crawford	35	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-13	15	13.0	13.6	-0.63	13.1	12.8	0.32
Cal Bowdler	4	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-7	3	18.0	13.2	4.77	18.5	12.7	5.81
Bimbo Coles	45	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-8	5	15.3	12.1	3.27	11.7	13.7	-2.01
Jason Terry	43	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-8	5	12.1	14.3	-2.18	14.5	11.9	2.60
Lorenzen Wright	40	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-3	-5	12.0	14.2	-2.24	15.6	11.5	4.08
Anthony Johnson	29	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-2	-7	12.9	13.6	-0.68	12.9	12.9	-0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	71	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-6	1	13.2	13.7	-0.49	12.2	14.2	-1.99
Alan Henderson	96	95	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-3	-5	13.6	12.3	1.28	12.2	17.6	-5.36
Jim Jackson	88	88	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-2	-7	13.7	12.2	1.52	12.6	14.3	-1.78
Isaiah Rider	99	99	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.19	-8	-3	-5	13.5	12.6	0.85	12.9	12.8	0.11

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	59	61	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.13	8	3	5	13.7	12.0	1.70	13.0	13.9	-0.90
Shawn Kemp	91	92	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	4	3	12.5	14.8	-2.25	12.7	16.9	-4.17
Lamond Murray	97	96	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	7	-3	12.5	16.4	-3.95	13.3	14.1	-0.85
Brevin Knight	77	75	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	7	-3	12.0	15.2	-3.20	13.9	12.2	1.72
Danny Ferry	29	29	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	-2	15	13.7	12.6	1.03	13.8	13.3	0.49
Bob Sura	62	63	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	1	9	12.8	13.0	-0.14	14.0	12.7	1.29
Ryan Stack	20	21	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	3	5	16.1	12.2	3.98	14.8	13.1	1.68
Andre Miller	32	35	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	4	3	15.2	12.0	3.20	12.2	13.9	-1.72
Cedric Henderson	12	12	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	11	-11	11.2	13.1	-1.95	14.6	13.3	1.33
A.J. Bramlett	35	33	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.25	-7	18	-25	13.1	12.8	0.32	13.1	13.5	-0.40
Andrew DeClercq	31	33	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	10	-9	11.6	13.4	-1.80	14.0	13.2	0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 83, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
SEA 84, LAC 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
TOR 87, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%