NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	83		Excitement	2.7 [1191]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +7.1%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	1.1 [1193]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -10.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	19	60%	0.06	4	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.05	11	64%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Efthimios Rentzias	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	17%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	5	64%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	6	39%	-0.03	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	8	43%	-0.03	5	-0.07	5	100%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	24	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	-0.00	-0.03	8	84%	0.10	4	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.08	0.01	-0.09	19	41%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	67%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	71%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	52%	0.01	1	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	45%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.4	32.7	17.7	28.6	2.6	26.3	138.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +37.2%

DAL +4.0%

PHI -0.2%

DAL +5.8%

DAL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DAL	NBA	PHI	DAL	NBA
this game	16.3	16.4	15.5	95.4	114.6	101.6
season	15.3	15.1		102.1	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		102.0	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.3	18.6	15.5	16.0	16.3
DAL	15.3	18.3	14.0	19.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Efthimios Rentzias	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-22	25	14.7	16.4	-1.69	22.0	15.9	6.11
John Salmons	19	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.22	7	-26	33	14.8	16.7	-1.85	18.0	16.0	2.04
Kenny Satterfield	13	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-17	15	22.0	15.3	6.72	20.8	15.8	5.08
Brian Skinner	19	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-12	5	17.0	16.1	0.91	19.6	15.6	3.99
Todd MacCulloch	26	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	-10	1	14.6	17.0	-2.38	14.1	17.4	-3.29
Aaron McKie	12	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.16	-12	-7	-5	21.6	15.4	6.14	14.1	16.8	-2.68
Kenny Thomas	55	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-11	3	17.1	14.9	2.14	16.0	17.2	-1.13
Greg Buckner	63	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-13	7	15.5	18.4	-2.94	17.3	14.1	3.22
Derrick Coleman	37	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-11	3	17.9	15.1	2.89	16.9	16.1	0.73
Keith Van Horn	52	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-7	-5	15.0	18.2	-3.25	15.5	17.9	-2.43
Eric Snow	64	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.13	-18	-1	-17	15.4	18.9	-3.51	15.9	18.0	-2.01
Allen Iverson	67	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.20	-23	4	-27	16.4	16.0	0.37	15.4	19.7	-4.23

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	76	75	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.21	24	-5	29	15.8	20.1	-4.26	16.3	15.9	0.43
Steve Nash	61	59	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	3	13	15.4	18.8	-3.43	17.3	14.2	3.00
Michael Finley	69	67	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.14	18	1	17	15.4	19.8	-4.40	15.0	20.6	-5.60
Raja Bell	55	53	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.07	14	5	9	14.7	19.3	-4.57	14.7	18.7	-4.02
Shawn Bradley	39	37	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	6	7	15.8	16.9	-1.10	17.4	15.5	1.95
Nick Van Exel	40	40	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	12	-5	18.7	14.6	4.06	17.3	15.4	1.92
Adrian Griffin	31	32	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	13	-7	19.9	14.6	5.32	19.2	14.6	4.54
Raef LaFrentz	42	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	13	-7	16.3	16.6	-0.33	17.0	15.6	1.39
Popeye Jones	19	20	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.12	-2	21	-23	19.5	15.6	3.86	13.1	17.2	-4.14
Avery Johnson	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	25	-31	23.0	15.6	7.39	13.6	16.6	-3.05
Adam Harrington	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	12.7	16.6	-3.90	12.0	16.4	-4.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 104, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MIN 96, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
POR 86, NOK 102	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%