NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	104		Excitement	2.8 [1211]		MVP	Charlie Bell (MIL): +8.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	115		Comeback	1.1 [1012]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -9.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.12	-0.00	0.11	17	63%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Hassan Adams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	17	47%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Marcus Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0.05	16	55%	0.01	4	-0.07	6	83%	-0.01
Vince Carter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.02	-0.00	0.11	16	51%	-0.06	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.05	15	59%	0.11	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	20	67%	0.13	4	-0.05	8	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	0.00	0.08	8	90%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	8	45%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	17	57%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.05	4	73%	0.02	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.03
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	0	75%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	26.5	15.6	29.1	1.7	34.0	131.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +43.2%

MIL +0.3%

MIL +3.4%

MIL +3.9%

NJN -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIL	NBA	NJN	MIL	NBA
this game	14.6	14.1	15.4	103.0	115.0	104.5
season	15.4	15.2		103.1	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.3	16.2	15.2	11.1	14.6
MIL	14.3	13.8	13.1	15.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Wright	10	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-12	13	11.6	14.9	-3.29	13.2	14.2	-0.99
Josh Boone	40	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.24	6	-17	23	15.0	14.3	0.76	14.4	13.9	0.49
Bostjan Nachbar	13	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-3	-5	14.7	14.5	0.15	13.2	14.2	-1.02
Marcus Williams	20	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-4	-3	16.4	14.1	2.29	12.8	14.4	-1.61
Hassan Adams	36	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.15	-2	-9	7	14.6	14.5	0.12	14.6	13.8	0.81
Jason Collins	43	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-4	-3	13.5	15.3	-1.83	13.9	14.2	-0.36
Mikki Moore	43	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	-2	-7	15.6	13.8	1.73	14.2	14.0	0.17
Eddie House	63	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-5	-1	14.4	14.9	-0.53	13.8	14.6	-0.79
Jason Kidd	81	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.23	-4	-7	3	14.1	16.4	-2.29	14.4	12.8	1.61
Richard Jefferson	79	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-1	-9	14.6	14.3	0.37	14.3	13.4	0.91
Vince Carter	77	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-2	-7	14.8	13.9	0.85	14.1	14.2	-0.11

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Bell	76	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	-8	27	14.3	13.4	0.89	14.3	15.2	-0.90
Andrew Bogut	70	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-3	17	13.2	16.1	-2.92	15.1	13.3	1.81
Michael Redd	81	83	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	4	3	13.4	17.0	-3.59	14.7	14.1	0.55
Mo Williams	78	79	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	0	11	13.9	14.7	-0.82	14.8	13.8	0.95
Brian Skinner	48	49	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.22	18	-7	25	13.7	14.4	-0.65	16.1	13.1	2.99
Steve Blake	33	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	12	-13	13.8	14.2	-0.36	14.9	14.4	0.44
Ruben Patterson	35	34	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	10	-9	15.4	13.4	2.06	14.4	14.7	-0.32
Charlie Villanueva	51	51	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.41	-10	21	-31	15.0	13.1	1.86	12.6	16.5	-3.91
Dan Gadzuric	28	27	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	15	-19	15.7	13.5	2.26	13.7	14.9	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, PHX 127	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
PHI 83, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
PHI 82, TOR 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%