NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	84		Excitement	2.7 [1242]		MVP	Bobby Simmons (LAC): +11.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	114		Comeback	1.0 [1239]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (SEA): -11.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.15	-0.00	0.07	11	80%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Robert Swift	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.08	15	69%	0.05	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Jerome James	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.18	0.00	-0.15	12	18%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	18	50%	-0.03	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	8	11%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.24	0.00	0.13	15	88%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.00	-0.02	15	64%	0.12	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mamadou N'diaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lionel Chalmers	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	3	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	58%	0.00	2	-0.03	10	70%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	14	47%	-0.01	2	-0.04	10	70%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	597.2	2.7	-689.1	15.6	26.0	1.8	28.3	-17.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +40.8%

LAC +5.5%

SEA -0.9%

LAC +2.7%

LAC +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAC	NBA	SEA	LAC	NBA
this game	18.1	14.5	15.5	93.3	132.6	104.0
season	16.5	16.0		109.5	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.8	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	19.4	18.4	17.0	17.7	18.1
LAC	13.0	15.0	15.6	14.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	26	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.28	-10	-20	10	17.5	18.4	-0.91	13.0	15.1	-2.11
Damien Wilkins	19	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.35	-13	-17	4	18.6	18.0	0.55	13.5	14.8	-1.30
Vladimir Radmanovic	55	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-30	30	16.8	20.2	-3.41	15.8	12.3	3.53
Ronald Murray	14	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-24	18	17.1	18.3	-1.27	15.7	14.3	1.45
Robert Swift	25	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.29	-16	-14	-2	17.2	18.5	-1.25	13.2	15.0	-1.73
Jerome James	44	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-22	14	18.9	17.4	1.54	14.6	14.4	0.23
Antonio Daniels	48	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.36	-22	-8	-14	17.5	18.8	-1.29	14.8	14.1	0.73
Luke Ridnour	56	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.33	-22	-8	-14	18.6	17.4	1.22	13.3	16.3	-3.02
Rashard Lewis	59	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-19	8	18.3	17.8	0.52	15.4	12.6	2.75
Reggie Evans	32	29	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.31	-24	-6	-18	20.6	16.8	3.75	13.5	15.0	-1.48
Ray Allen	72	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	-12	-6	18.1	18.2	-0.03	14.7	13.7	1.05

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	67	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.41	33	-3	36	14.4	14.9	-0.51	18.6	16.5	2.06
Corey Maggette	69	73	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.34	27	3	24	14.3	15.1	-0.77	18.3	17.4	0.90
Bobby Simmons	61	66	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.49	29	1	28	14.8	13.7	1.16	18.6	16.8	1.79
Chris Wilcox	53	55	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	22	-14	15.1	13.5	1.65	17.7	18.9	-1.17
Marko Jaric	56	57	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.29	20	10	10	13.6	16.2	-2.61	18.4	17.8	0.56
Rick Brunson	24	26	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.12	11	19	-8	14.6	14.5	0.12	19.2	17.7	1.53
Shaun Livingston	27	29	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	25	-20	16.7	13.5	3.21	17.0	18.7	-1.74
Mikki Moore	31	34	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	26	-22	15.1	14.1	0.98	17.9	18.3	-0.42
Mamadou N'diaye	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	31	-32	12.8	14.6	-1.80	13.7	18.3	-4.60
Zeljko Rebraca	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	26	-22	10.6	14.8	-4.28	16.7	18.2	-1.58
Lionel Chalmers	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	26	-22	10.6	14.8	-4.28	16.7	18.2	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 92, IND 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
PHI 83, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
ATL 116, CLE 127	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.4%