inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 87 Excitement3.3 [1109] MVPJuwan Howard (DEN): +5.1%
Denver Nuggets 95 Comeback1.0 [590] LVPMichael Bradley (TOR): -10.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.011266%0.062-0.03850%-0.03
Mamadou N'diaye0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Chris Jefferies-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.000.000.02450%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Alvin Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.04629%-0.021-0.012100%0.01
Jelani McCoy-0.040,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.030.000.071152%-0.0400.0010%-0.01
Rafer Alston-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.000.06580%-0.003-0.0500%0.00
Antonio Davis-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.00-0.00946%-0.042-0.04875%-0.01
Voshon Lenard-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.180.00-0.081228%-0.082-0.02862%-0.01
Morris Peterson-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.13-0.00-0.03937%-0.063-0.04667%-0.01
Michael Bradley-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.12-0.00-0.02828%-0.073-0.042100%0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.021663%0.071-0.02667%-0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.012100%0.0400.001100%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.040.00-0.071437%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.070.00-0.071144%0.012-0.00540%-0.00
Vincent Yarbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Predrag Savovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01175%0.0000.00250%0.00
Shammond Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01650%0.001-0.002100%0.00
Rodney White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00950%-0.0110.002100%-0.00
Marcus Camby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.04828%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Nene0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.090.00-0.041233%-0.0510.00333%-0.02
Donnell Harvey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.100.00-0.02312%-0.042-0.04250%-0.00
Junior Harrington0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.170.00-0.09633%-0.055-0.046100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.63.234.716.527.21.832.1139.1
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +20.4%
DEN +4.1%
DEN +11.3%
DEN +13.1%
DEN +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDENNBATORDENNBA
this game13.714.615.585.394.1101.6
season16.215.798.890.4
opponent15.315.399.4105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.413.014.511.713.7
DEN14.914.815.513.614.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mamadou N'diaye1616-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-889.314.6-5.2610.915.3-4.39
Chris Jefferies2928-0.09-0.410.32-0.4111-193010.315.1-4.8513.415.1-1.77
Jelani McCoy5654-0.16-0.340.17-0.377-152214.512.81.7516.312.73.53
Alvin Williams5555-0.21-0.290.090.09-102-1215.112.22.9216.112.83.28
Rafer Alston4746-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.352-101212.215.1-2.9212.816.1-3.28
Morris Peterson5857-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.04-91-1014.812.32.5515.813.12.65
Michael Bradley6664-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.310-8813.015.1-2.0313.716.3-2.67
Voshon Lenard5959-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.17-5-3-212.415.5-3.0913.016.9-3.85
Vince Carter6363-0.35-0.15-0.190.15-179-2615.311.33.9515.613.02.62
Antonio Davis6163-0.38-0.12-0.260.17-1911-3015.311.53.7715.213.71.48

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikoloz Tskitishvili55550.350.150.19-0.0915-72215.913.12.8815.511.73.83
Junior Harrington62620.340.160.170.1662414.714.50.2013.713.8-0.05
Juwan Howard55560.300.200.100.0110-21215.913.12.8015.112.13.06
Marcus Camby49490.280.210.07-0.1816-82414.614.7-0.1614.313.31.00
Ryan Bowen29270.240.26-0.010.0180816.014.11.9215.313.22.06
Nene50510.210.29-0.080.44-816-2414.614.7-0.0713.314.2-0.82
Chris Andersen46470.210.29-0.090.27-210-1213.115.9-2.8011.915.3-3.47
Shammond Williams45450.160.34-0.170.19-19-1013.815.3-1.5412.814.5-1.77
Vincent Yarbrough34380.160.34-0.190.0153214.814.50.2913.813.70.11
Rodney White47490.120.38-0.250.24-412-1613.115.9-2.7812.614.8-2.30
Donnell Harvey20180.080.42-0.350.0808-814.514.7-0.1713.913.70.17
Predrag Savovic13130.050.45-0.400.20-513-1814.214.7-0.5511.214.1-2.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 85, DET 1130.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
GSW 71, SEA 900.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
PHI 89, DET 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%