NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	85		Excitement	3.0 [1134]		MVP	Grant Hill (DET): +7.5%
Detroit Pistons	113		Comeback	1.0 [1177]		LVP	Lamond Murray (LAC): -11.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	13	65%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	6	64%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stojko Vrankovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	30%	0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
James Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	61%	0.00	3	-0.00	7	86%	0.00
Keith Closs	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	4	25%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	10	38%	-0.02	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.02	10	54%	-0.02	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.18	0.00	-0.06	17	28%	-0.06	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	23	67%	0.13	4	-0.06	3	100%	-0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	61%	0.01	2	0.00	8	87%	-0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.13	0.01	-0.12	15	40%	0.05	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Charles O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	-0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	13	57%	0.04	3	-0.05	9	78%	-0.01
Joe Dumars	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.4	29.2	15.7	25.6	0.7	28.5	125.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +20.7%

DET +3.7%

DET +15.2%

DET +9.4%

DET +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DET	NBA	LAC	DET	NBA
this game	16.0	13.3	15.6	86.7	114.1	102.5
season	15.5	15.9		101.0	102.8
opponent	15.9	15.1		101.1	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.0	15.8	18.9	13.2	16.0
DET	10.7	14.2	17.1	12.1	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Collins	22	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-25	22	12.3	17.1	-4.79	12.5	13.5	-0.92
James Robinson	37	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.19	-7	-21	14	13.3	17.6	-4.33	13.7	13.0	0.68
Stojko Vrankovic	14	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-26	24	12.2	16.6	-4.40	15.0	13.0	2.00
Maurice Taylor	54	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.16	-9	-19	10	14.0	18.5	-4.51	13.9	12.6	1.30
Eric Piatkowski	50	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.26	-14	-14	0	14.1	18.0	-3.86	14.3	12.1	2.17
Keith Closs	45	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.24	-16	-12	-4	14.6	17.1	-2.49	12.0	14.3	-2.28
Brent Barry	61	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-16	4	17.1	14.1	2.98	14.0	12.1	1.96
Lorenzen Wright	48	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.16	-17	-11	-6	18.6	13.5	5.04	13.7	12.8	0.84
Lamond Murray	58	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.25	-22	-6	-16	17.9	13.1	4.80	13.0	13.6	-0.57
Darrick Martin	54	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.10	-18	-10	-8	17.8	13.8	3.98	12.1	14.7	-2.61
Rodney Rogers	47	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.16	-20	-8	-12	18.0	14.1	3.94	12.4	14.1	-1.69

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	82	81	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.52	37	-9	46	13.0	14.4	-1.32	17.1	10.8	6.32
Bison Dele	64	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.29	24	4	20	12.7	14.4	-1.72	17.5	13.4	4.07
Rick Mahorn	26	24	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.26	21	7	14	14.7	12.8	1.89	18.8	15.1	3.71
Grant Hill	71	70	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.32	23	5	18	13.9	11.6	2.31	16.8	14.0	2.74
Malik Sealy	77	78	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.25	18	10	8	13.8	11.3	2.50	15.7	17.2	-1.58
Grant Long	38	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	22	-16	14.8	12.3	2.48	18.7	14.3	4.36
Jerome Williams	41	41	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.26	14	14	0	12.8	13.6	-0.86	14.3	17.2	-2.96
Joe Dumars	14	13	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	22	-16	11.7	13.5	-1.80	18.1	15.7	2.41
Charles O'Bannon	34	36	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	28	-28	13.0	13.4	-0.36	13.0	17.7	-4.68
Don Reid	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	32	-36	10.5	13.6	-3.14	10.5	16.7	-6.13
Scot Pollard	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	30	-32	9.4	13.7	-4.30	9.6	16.6	-7.08
Eric Montross	26	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	31	-34	13.1	13.3	-0.20	11.9	17.6	-5.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 82, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
NYK 82, IND 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
SAC 86, LAL 113	0.5,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%