NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	87		Excitement	4.7 [866]		MVP	Monty Williams (ORL): +17.1%
Orlando Magic	108		Comeback	2.5 [1038]		LVP	Metta World Peace (CHI): -12.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Benjamin	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.02	-0.05	10	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Elton Brand	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	11	59%	0.04	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.02
Chris Anstey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dedric Willoughby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	9	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
B.J. Armstrong	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	0.04	8	56%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	20	45%	-0.04	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.06	0.01	7	89%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	12	62%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.04	16	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	8	80%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.05	12	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	9	44%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	7	48%	-0.01	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.6	28.2	16.7	29.6	1.8	26.4	127.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +16.4%

ORL +18.0%

CHI -7.6%

ORL +21.4%

ORL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ORL	NBA	CHI	ORL	NBA
this game	17.8	13.7	15.2	95.6	117.4	101.7
season	16.5	13.6		91.8	100.4
opponent	15.4	14.9		99.3	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.2	18.1	19.2	16.9	17.8
ORL	13.0	12.4	14.2	15.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Anstey	16	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.15	-6	-15	9	16.7	18.1	-1.41	14.4	13.5	0.93
Will Perdue	35	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-17	13	16.1	18.9	-2.77	14.7	13.0	1.71
Kornel David	34	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-12	3	16.1	18.9	-2.76	13.9	13.5	0.39
Elton Brand	68	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-17	13	18.2	16.7	1.48	13.8	13.3	0.41
Michael Ruffin	17	16	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-9	-3	16.3	18.2	-1.91	12.9	13.8	-0.87
Metta World Peace	74	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.03	-10	-11	1	18.1	16.8	1.26	14.0	12.1	1.95
Dickey Simpkins	46	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.20	-16	-5	-11	19.6	16.1	3.48	12.7	14.7	-2.00
Dedric Willoughby	54	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.21	-17	-4	-13	17.5	18.3	-0.81	13.7	13.6	0.10
Corey Benjamin	68	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-5	-11	18.3	16.5	1.83	13.3	14.9	-1.59
B.J. Armstrong	43	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-10	-1	18.5	17.3	1.22	13.4	13.9	-0.47

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	55	56	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.31	31	-10	41	13.5	13.9	-0.49	17.8	17.9	-0.02
Pat Garrity	53	54	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.34	28	-7	35	13.0	14.5	-1.49	17.1	19.0	-1.94
Bo Outlaw	54	54	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.26	23	-2	25	13.5	13.9	-0.41	17.0	19.0	-1.99
Darrell Armstrong	48	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	10	1	13.2	14.1	-0.93	19.5	16.1	3.39
John Amaechi	49	49	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.06	13	8	5	13.8	13.5	0.26	16.1	19.9	-3.73
Michael Doleac	43	42	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	13	-5	13.5	13.8	-0.26	19.9	16.1	3.73
Chucky Atkins	44	45	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.15	10	11	-1	14.1	13.2	0.93	16.1	19.5	-3.39
Monty Williams	35	34	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.20	-4	25	-29	13.6	13.7	-0.13	19.3	17.0	2.36
Ben Wallace	39	37	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.22	-7	28	-35	14.5	13.0	1.49	19.0	17.1	1.94
Anthony Parker	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	17.7	13.5	4.15	15.7	17.9	-2.25
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	37	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.20	-10	31	-41	13.9	13.5	0.49	17.9	17.8	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.78,0.79,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 98, DET 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
SAC 93, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
LAL 100, IND 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%