NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	106		Excitement	2.2 [1223]		MVP	Brad Miller (CHH): +2.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	84		Comeback	1.1 [417]		LVP	Matt Geiger (PHI): -7.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.08	19	47%	0.06	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Todd Fuller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	7	40%	0.00	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Michael Hawkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	16	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
David Wesley	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.11	-0.00	-0.11	11	42%	0.02	4	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	10	36%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.07	11	64%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.07	11	73%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	9	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	40%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	9	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.21	0.00	-0.18	17	27%	-0.01	2	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	5	29%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	10	55%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.03	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.8	30.2	15.3	26.6	1.7	26.3	124.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +19.7%

CHH +7.2%

CHH +7.4%

CHH +15.3%

CHH +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	PHI	NBA	CHH	PHI	NBA
this game	13.7	13.5	15.2	100.0	79.2	101.7
season	14.9	15.0		101.5	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		98.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.1	12.4	14.6	13.9	13.7
PHI	14.7	12.0	16.7	11.4	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	89	88	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.03	19	3	16	13.9	12.5	1.44	13.8	11.8	2.00
Brad Miller	85	85	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.28	27	-5	32	13.7	13.5	0.19	13.8	12.0	1.80
Eddie Jones	70	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.30	25	-3	28	13.2	14.5	-1.28	14.1	12.3	1.75
Anthony Mason	64	64	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.29	24	-2	26	14.0	13.3	0.69	15.2	10.8	4.40
Eddie Robinson	47	47	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.34	25	-3	28	12.7	14.4	-1.72	15.6	11.8	3.74
Ricky Davis	59	59	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.20	-3	25	-28	14.4	12.7	1.72	11.8	15.6	-3.74
Todd Fuller	63	63	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.27	-7	29	-36	13.3	14.2	-0.81	11.2	16.8	-5.55
Baron Davis	46	47	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	26	-30	14.6	13.0	1.57	12.4	14.4	-1.95
Michael Hawkins	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	18	-14	9.3	14.0	-4.70	10.6	13.7	-3.13

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jumaine Jones	24	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-26	30	10.6	14.3	-3.70	13.7	13.7	0.02
Bruce Bowen	21	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-23	24	13.0	13.6	-0.61	11.0	14.3	-3.28
Tyrone Hill	36	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.11	-7	-15	8	16.2	12.1	4.14	14.9	13.0	1.95
Aaron McKie	59	60	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-23	24	12.3	15.0	-2.79	14.0	13.2	0.82
Todd MacCulloch	47	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-20	18	12.4	14.4	-2.03	14.4	13.1	1.26
Larry Hughes	73	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-19	16	12.3	16.0	-3.69	13.6	13.8	-0.11
Matt Geiger	42	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.23	-17	-5	-12	13.9	13.2	0.73	12.8	14.3	-1.53
Billy Owens	79	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-9	-4	12.9	15.2	-2.27	13.6	13.8	-0.19
Eric Snow	53	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.30	-25	3	-28	15.3	11.6	3.70	13.3	14.0	-0.65
George Lynch	51	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.40	-29	7	-36	15.1	12.0	3.02	14.0	13.4	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 104, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	97.5%
PHI 85, CHI 67	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
CHI 95, CHA 64	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%