NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	104		Excitement	2.4 [1260]		MVP	Lou Williams (PHI): +7.0%
Detroit Pistons	94		Comeback	1.1 [479]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -14.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.00	-0.05	10	61%	0.09	3	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	0.00	0.08	9	89%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	16	62%	0.07	3	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Willie Green	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	10	68%	0.08	4	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.13	0.00	0.09	6	84%	0.04	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rodney Carney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	10	38%	-0.03	4	-0.03	6	67%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	0.00	0.07	5	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.13	0.00	0.12	13	66%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	15	53%	-0.00	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.06	7	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	4	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.22	-0.00	-0.07	22	27%	-0.10	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	32.2	13.7	29.6	2.6	42.2	148.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +45.9%

PHI +2.3%

DET -1.8%

PHI +2.6%

PHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.3	114.3	101.1	106.0
season	15.1	16.8		104.2	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.8		109.8	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.9	13.6	16.6	17.1	15.5
DET	18.5	14.6	15.4	14.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	72	75	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	2	6	15.5	15.7	-0.18	15.9	15.1	0.81
Andre Iguodala	65	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-4	18	15.4	15.8	-0.38	16.4	14.2	2.18
Willie Green	59	62	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.04	16	-6	22	14.4	17.7	-3.31	15.9	15.5	0.47
Lou Williams	65	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	2	6	14.7	17.6	-2.85	16.0	15.3	0.71
Thaddeus Young	54	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	3	4	15.0	16.3	-1.32	16.6	14.5	2.11
Elton Brand	52	53	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	9	-8	17.7	12.6	5.16	15.3	16.3	-1.03
Jrue Holiday	49	51	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.26	-2	12	-14	16.4	14.5	1.97	14.8	17.0	-2.17
Rodney Carney	26	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.17	-4	14	-18	15.8	15.4	0.38	14.2	16.4	-2.18
Marreese Speights	13	13	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	8	-6	15.1	15.6	-0.54	15.0	15.9	-0.89

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Daye	32	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.32	10	-20	30	15.4	16.0	-0.54	18.0	14.2	3.80
Jonas Jerebko	27	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-9	8	14.6	16.3	-1.70	13.1	16.6	-3.56
Chris Wilcox	26	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-9	8	15.1	16.0	-0.90	16.4	15.2	1.19
Chucky Atkins	29	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-8	6	14.6	16.3	-1.66	14.9	15.8	-0.94
Jason Maxiell	33	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-12	14	18.2	14.4	3.70	19.1	13.6	5.48
Tayshaun Prince	17	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	0	-10	19.9	14.8	5.11	15.4	15.6	-0.16
Charlie Villanueva	54	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-7	4	14.3	17.8	-3.45	14.3	17.2	-2.92
Rodney Stuckey	30	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.25	-18	8	-26	17.8	14.8	2.96	14.1	16.2	-2.12
Ben Wallace	70	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	0	-10	16.0	15.1	0.90	15.1	16.9	-1.78
Ben Gordon	69	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	14.6	19.2	-4.64	15.3	16.2	-0.91
Richard Hamilton	78	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	0	-10	16.1	13.8	2.34	15.9	13.9	2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 85, CHI 67	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
CHH 106, PHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
ORL 106, MIL 80	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%