NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	106		Excitement	2.0 [1286]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +11.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	80		Comeback	1.3 [1000]		LVP	Ramon Sessions (MIL): -6.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.00	-0.01	13	60%	0.14	2	-0.02	21	57%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	0.00	0.07	4	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	6	44%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	12	54%	0.03	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Tony Battie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.05	9	72%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	44%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.07	12	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	48%	-0.00	3	-0.01	7	71%	-0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	50%	-0.03	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	10%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.5	29.4	15.6	30.1	2.4	28.6	136.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +37.2%

ORL +5.0%

ORL +3.7%

ORL +3.2%

ORL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIL	NBA	ORL	MIL	NBA
this game	16.4	14.2	15.5	112.8	85.1	106.4
season	15.3	15.0		107.3	104.9
opponent	15.6	15.8		105.6	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.0	17.0	17.9	15.8	16.4
MIL	15.7	13.7	14.2	13.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	70	69	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.46	30	-4	34	16.2	16.8	-0.59	14.5	13.5	0.99
Dwight Howard	64	63	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.25	23	3	20	16.5	16.2	0.33	14.5	13.7	0.85
Rafer Alston	56	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	7	12	16.9	15.7	1.19	14.4	14.0	0.40
Rashard Lewis	66	67	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.24	20	6	14	16.8	15.4	1.37	14.2	14.3	-0.02
JJ Redick	40	40	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.25	19	7	12	15.9	16.8	-0.86	13.6	14.7	-1.12
Mickael Pietrus	40	40	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.13	13	13	0	15.9	16.7	-0.82	15.8	13.1	2.66
Courtney Lee	46	47	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.21	-3	29	-32	16.9	15.9	1.06	13.3	15.2	-1.98
Anthony Johnson	29	28	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	21	-16	15.7	16.7	-0.97	14.7	14.0	0.67
Marcin Gortat	30	31	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	23	-20	16.2	16.5	-0.33	13.7	14.5	-0.85
Tony Battie	13	13	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	25	-24	16.8	16.3	0.44	15.2	14.1	1.14
Tyronn Lue	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	24	-22	15.6	16.5	-0.93	11.5	14.5	-3.00
Jeremy Richardson	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	28	-30	15.3	16.5	-1.20	11.0	14.5	-3.47

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-24	22	13.1	14.5	-1.47	15.9	16.5	-0.62
Francisco Elson	23	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-25	24	12.6	14.8	-2.17	18.1	15.9	2.28
Joe Alexander	43	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-23	20	13.9	14.5	-0.62	16.3	16.4	-0.10
Keith Bogans	49	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-24	22	13.9	14.6	-0.68	16.1	16.7	-0.63
Luke Ridnour	41	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.14	-10	-16	6	15.1	13.6	1.51	15.9	16.8	-0.88
Malik Allen	41	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.19	-13	-13	0	13.6	14.7	-1.13	16.8	16.1	0.69
Charlie Bell	25	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.15	-12	-14	2	16.0	13.6	2.45	15.7	16.6	-0.86
Dan Gadzuric	30	31	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.11	-12	-14	2	16.4	13.2	3.12	14.6	17.3	-2.61
Charlie Villanueva	49	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.22	-18	-8	-10	14.6	13.8	0.81	17.0	15.8	1.13
Luc Mbah a Moute	43	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.20	-18	-8	-10	14.0	14.5	-0.45	16.7	16.1	0.60
Ramon Sessions	53	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-10	-6	13.6	15.1	-1.51	16.8	15.9	0.88
Richard Jefferson	55	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.23	-23	-3	-20	14.2	14.3	-0.06	16.4	16.4	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 104, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	97.3%
CHH 106, PHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
MIA 103, CHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%