NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	100		Excitement	6.0 [592]		MVP	Dell Curry (TOR): +10.1%
Utah Jazz	87		Comeback	1.9 [173]		LVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): -19.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	8	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	4	83%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Dee Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	65%	0.08	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Alvin Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	19	46%	0.05	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.03	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Muggsy Bogues	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.00	-0.07	0.03	3	67%	-0.06	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	13	42%	-0.05	3	-0.08	10	70%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	9	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.05	0.03	13	62%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	13	40%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.03	23	41%	-0.08	3	-0.08	12	67%	-0.02
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	8	27%	-0.19	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.7	26.3	16.5	23.0	1.6	33.3	129.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +43.3%

TOR +20.3%

TOR +3.1%

UTA -15.0%

UTA -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	UTA	NBA	TOR	UTA	NBA
this game	14.2	17.4	15.2	109.9	95.6	101.7
season	15.5	16.3		101.8	104.5
opponent	15.2	14.9		100.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.4	15.9	14.9	14.0	14.2
UTA	16.4	16.9	17.8	18.7	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	43	42	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.07	22	-9	31	13.6	14.8	-1.16	19.6	15.5	4.15
Vince Carter	77	77	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.09	17	-4	21	14.1	15.3	-1.23	17.9	14.6	3.35
Kevin Willis	36	36	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	7	-1	15.7	13.3	2.45	19.1	16.3	2.82
Antonio Davis	63	62	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.07	14	-1	15	13.4	16.0	-2.59	16.8	18.6	-1.78
Muggsy Bogues	36	36	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	7	-1	15.2	13.6	1.53	17.5	17.3	0.15
Dell Curry	36	36	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	7	-1	15.2	13.6	1.53	17.5	17.3	0.15
Charles Oakley	63	63	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	11	-9	13.5	15.8	-2.28	15.8	20.9	-5.09
Alvin Williams	6	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.04	1	12	-11	15.2	14.2	0.99	17.0	17.4	-0.44
Dee Brown	46	47	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	18	-23	14.5	14.0	0.57	17.0	17.8	-0.84
Doug Christie	49	50	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	17	-21	14.2	14.3	-0.13	16.5	18.5	-2.06

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	22	22	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.02	5	-18	23	16.9	17.6	-0.72	15.9	13.7	2.14
Jacque Vaughn	28	27	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-16	19	19.5	16.5	3.08	16.3	13.4	2.97
Pete Chilcutt	21	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.04	-2	-11	9	16.2	17.8	-1.58	12.9	14.7	-1.82
John Stockton	50	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-16	19	15.3	20.0	-4.63	14.7	13.7	1.02
Greg Ostertag	36	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-14	15	16.5	18.0	-1.55	15.2	13.6	1.56
Adam Keefe	28	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.21	-2	-11	9	19.6	16.4	3.13	15.2	13.8	1.46
Karl Malone	70	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.05	-12	-1	-11	16.5	20.5	-4.05	13.9	15.5	-1.56
Jeff Hornacek	61	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	-1	-11	16.2	19.9	-3.77	13.5	15.9	-2.43
Olden Polynice	25	24	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.00	-13	0	-13	20.7	16.2	4.51	13.5	14.5	-1.06
Bryon Russell	71	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.07	-16	3	-19	17.3	17.7	-0.38	13.9	15.4	-1.54
Howard Eisley	43	43	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.06	-20	7	-27	20.2	14.9	5.31	13.5	14.9	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, ATL 80	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.4,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0	93.3%
SAS 107, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.24,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	93.2%
DEN 103, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.62,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.2%