NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	107		Excitement	5.8 [519]		MVP	Shannon Brown (PHX): +26.2%
Phoenix Suns	100		Comeback	2.2 [494]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -13.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.23	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.18	0.04	-0.01	16	72%	0.25	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Tony Parker	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.07	0.02	17	60%	0.19	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.01	10	65%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	11	61%	0.13	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.02	4	75%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	7%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Neal	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	8	12%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.27	0.04	0.05	18	78%	0.26	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.05	-0.01	15	64%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	10	55%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	9	39%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	16	50%	-0.00	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.3	2.6	26.8	14.8	25.2	2.7	28.0	119.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +38.2%

PHX -3.7%

SAS +17.4%

PHX -2.0%

PHX -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	16.5	14.8	15.6	116.3	108.7	102.8
season	15.3	15.0		109.1	104.7
opponent	15.7	15.2		104.9	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.8	15.9	17.0	16.3	16.5
PHX	13.9	12.9	16.4	16.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	37	35	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-7	21	13.2	18.7	-5.50	16.4	13.9	2.49
Danny Green	50	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	2	3	17.8	14.9	2.85	14.3	15.4	-1.16
Kawhi Leonard	62	60	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	3	1	16.7	16.1	0.56	14.5	15.3	-0.79
Matt Bonner	45	46	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	1	5	16.8	16.1	0.67	14.7	14.9	-0.22
Tony Parker	66	69	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	2	3	16.8	15.7	1.04	14.5	15.9	-1.45
Manu Ginobili	52	53	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	3	1	15.6	17.6	-1.94	14.8	14.8	-0.03
Tim Duncan	59	61	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	7	-7	18.1	13.5	4.62	14.5	15.5	-1.04
Patty Mills	9	8	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.01	2	5	-3	13.4	16.8	-3.36	17.9	14.5	3.34
Gary Neal	29	28	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	5	-3	14.7	17.3	-2.66	16.6	14.1	2.51
James Anderson	11	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.01	-1	8	-9	15.5	16.6	-1.06	13.8	15.0	-1.14
DeJuan Blair	40	40	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.03	-6	13	-19	17.6	15.6	2.07	14.3	15.2	-0.89

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	64	64	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.13	7	-14	21	14.2	16.3	-2.15	17.2	14.7	2.54
Marcin Gortat	70	70	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.17	5	-12	17	13.9	17.7	-3.81	17.1	14.5	2.54
Channing Frye	64	64	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-11	15	14.1	16.5	-2.46	17.7	13.6	4.13
Jared Dudley	55	56	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-11	15	14.7	15.0	-0.29	18.0	14.1	3.93
Markieff Morris	13	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-4	1	14.5	14.9	-0.33	14.1	16.9	-2.75
Shannon Brown	80	81	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-6	5	14.1	19.3	-5.18	16.8	13.9	2.92
Ronnie Price	24	22	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	1	-9	15.2	14.7	0.57	14.0	17.2	-3.20
Hakim Warrick	15	14	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	1	-9	18.3	14.2	4.11	13.1	17.1	-4.02
Michael Redd	25	25	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.11	-9	2	-11	16.8	14.1	2.77	14.0	17.4	-3.35
Robin Lopez	22	22	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.12	-12	5	-17	17.7	13.9	3.81	14.5	17.1	-2.54
Sebastian Telfair	28	28	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	7	-21	16.3	14.2	2.15	14.7	17.2	-2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.24,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.62,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.2%
DET 93, ATL 80	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.4,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0	93.7%
TOR 100, UTA 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,0	93.2%