NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	78		Excitement	4.3 [942]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +7.6%
San Antonio Spurs	101		Comeback	1.0 [1254]		LVP	Will Perdue (CHI): -9.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	10	60%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Kornel David	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	12	48%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.06
Corey Benjamin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lari Ketner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dedric Willoughby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.02	-0.04	6	29%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	36%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Elton Brand	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	21	49%	-0.01	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	4	22%	-0.03	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Randy Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	12	29%	-0.08	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Will Perdue	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	5	27%	-0.08	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	14	66%	0.13	3	-0.06	7	71%	0.01
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	7	59%	0.00	4	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	29.5	16.3	28.3	1.5	28.2	127.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +44.8%

SAS +3.2%

CHI -4.6%

SAS +6.5%

SAS +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SAS	NBA	CHI	SAS	NBA
this game	17.1	15.0	15.2	85.7	114.8	101.7
season	16.5	15.5		91.8	101.6
opponent	15.4	14.9		95.9	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	19.3	14.8	17.8	16.9	17.1
SAS	14.8	14.5	15.6	15.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Benjamin	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-16	9	13.7	17.4	-3.70	11.4	15.3	-3.90
Lari Ketner	12	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-19	15	17.6	17.1	0.53	12.7	15.4	-2.63
Kornel David	51	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.07	-1	-22	21	18.6	15.2	3.43	16.6	13.3	3.23
Elton Brand	65	63	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-16	9	18.3	14.2	4.15	15.3	14.2	1.15
Will Perdue	61	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-20	17	17.3	16.7	0.63	16.1	13.1	3.02
Hersey Hawkins	66	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-16	9	18.2	14.3	3.86	16.0	12.7	3.36
Chris Anstey	26	25	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.28	-18	-5	-13	14.8	18.1	-3.29	13.7	15.6	-1.88
Michael Ruffin	18	19	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-9	-5	15.2	17.6	-2.37	13.9	15.3	-1.37
Dedric Willoughby	33	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	-7	-9	14.3	18.7	-4.37	14.3	15.5	-1.24
Randy Brown	75	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-9	-5	17.5	15.2	2.27	14.9	15.4	-0.46
Metta World Peace	42	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.28	-24	1	-25	15.6	18.4	-2.83	13.4	16.8	-3.41

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Porter	32	32	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	7	9	15.4	14.8	0.65	16.5	17.5	-1.01
Tim Duncan	63	68	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.01	13	10	3	14.3	16.9	-2.65	17.6	15.7	1.91
Steve Kerr	33	32	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.16	18	5	13	15.0	15.0	-0.04	16.2	17.6	-1.49
Jaren Jackson	55	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	8	7	14.9	15.3	-0.40	15.3	19.9	-4.67
Samaki Walker	36	34	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.27	19	4	15	14.4	15.5	-1.12	15.2	18.3	-3.06
David Robinson	30	33	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	15	-7	16.7	14.1	2.60	18.8	16.2	2.57
Avery Johnson	52	56	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	18	-13	14.8	15.3	-0.43	17.7	16.1	1.64
Chucky Brown	40	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.11	7	16	-9	16.0	14.2	1.84	18.3	16.1	2.22
Mario Elie	48	53	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.08	6	17	-11	14.4	15.7	-1.33	18.2	15.6	2.60
Malik Rose	42	43	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	22	-21	15.6	14.5	1.19	17.2	17.1	0.12
Antonio Daniels	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.20	7	16	-9	13.7	15.2	-1.51	15.4	17.3	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 99, ORL 106	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,1,0.98,1	95.4%
MEM 91, DAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
ORL 95, CHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.7,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%