NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	91		Excitement	4.2 [970]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +10.1%
Dallas Mavericks	105		Comeback	1.1 [1249]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -14.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.01	10	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Franklin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	-0.01	0.08	5	92%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	11	52%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	9	32%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Tony Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	17	43%	0.02	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Nick Calathes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	13	26%	-0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.05	-0.03	18	33%	-0.08	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.02	15	62%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.01	0.01	7	86%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	6	78%	0.12	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	12	62%	0.06	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	3	89%	0.01	2	-0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bernard James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gal Mekel	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	29.6	16.7	29.2	2.4	29.3	134.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +45.8%

DAL +11.3%

MEM -15.4%

DAL +7.3%

DAL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DAL	NBA	MEM	DAL	NBA
this game	17.4	15.1	15.1	103.4	118.0	105.2
season	16.4	15.3		104.5	109.0
opponent	15.0	15.2		107.0	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.1	19.1	19.5	15.6	17.4
DAL	13.9	16.1	14.8	15.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	31	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-17	20	18.6	16.8	1.76	15.2	15.0	0.21
Mike Miller	55	56	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-13	12	17.9	16.7	1.19	14.5	16.1	-1.60
Jamaal Franklin	16	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-9	4	18.1	17.3	0.83	16.2	14.8	1.39
Jerryd Bayless	61	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-10	6	17.7	16.8	0.96	15.1	15.0	0.11
Zach Randolph	58	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-8	2	18.1	16.2	1.84	14.7	15.9	-1.16
Tony Allen	59	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-6	-2	18.2	16.0	2.15	14.9	15.6	-0.65
Nick Calathes	35	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-4	-6	15.9	18.5	-2.59	15.4	14.9	0.48
Ed Davis	40	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	-6	-2	17.6	17.3	0.29	15.9	14.5	1.37
James Johnson	38	39	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	0	-14	16.4	18.3	-1.89	15.6	14.7	0.90
Jon Leuer	47	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	3	-20	15.8	19.3	-3.55	14.8	15.5	-0.73

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	52	53	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.08	23	-9	32	14.8	15.5	-0.64	17.5	17.3	0.17
Shane Larkin	28	27	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	5	4	15.6	14.9	0.67	14.9	18.6	-3.68
Vince Carter	56	54	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	3	8	14.7	15.7	-0.98	17.1	18.1	-1.00
Jae Crowder	39	38	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	9	-4	15.8	14.6	1.17	16.4	18.2	-1.80
DeJuan Blair	36	36	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	7	0	15.8	14.7	1.12	17.7	17.2	0.47
Jose Calderon	57	58	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	6	2	14.9	15.5	-0.56	18.7	15.0	3.71
Monta Ellis	60	61	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	8	-2	14.5	16.3	-1.83	17.8	16.6	1.23
Brandan Wright	25	24	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	7	0	14.7	15.3	-0.55	17.6	17.4	0.19
Samuel Dalembert	24	26	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	9	-4	14.2	15.4	-1.24	16.8	17.7	-0.85
Wayne Ellington	6	4	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	15	-16	19.8	14.8	5.06	14.2	17.6	-3.35
Shawn Marion	54	53	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	14	-14	15.2	14.9	0.33	18.8	15.4	3.44
Bernard James	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	17.0	15.0	1.98	12.7	17.6	-4.95
Gal Mekel	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	17.0	15.0	1.98	12.7	17.6	-4.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 89, NOP 105	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.72,0.82,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,1,1,1	96.2%
NJN 78, CHH 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NYK 83, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%