inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 82 Excitement5.7 [674] MVPJames Posey (DEN): +8.4%
Denver Nuggets 93 Comeback2.4 [182] LVPGlen Rice (LAL): -19.6%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
A.C. Green0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.01367%0.0400.0000%0.00
Rick Fox0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.010.02753%0.0100.001100%0.01
Shaquille O'Neal-0.010,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.042753%0.043-0.051414%-0.13
Brian Shaw-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00444%-0.0100.0010%-0.02
John Salley-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Travis Knight-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.0220%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Robert Horry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00233%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Derek Fisher-0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.05-0.020.081162%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Devean George-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.00-0.030.04275%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Ron Harper-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.01425%-0.031-0.0500%0.00
John Celestand-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.00540%-0.012-0.0800%0.00
Glen Rice-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.14-0.07-0.01822%-0.123-0.072100%0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.060.01672%0.121-0.03683%0.04
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.010.021957%0.0800.002100%0.00
Ron Mercer0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.080.031762%0.174-0.105100%0.02
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00350%-0.0200.00475%-0.00
Chris Herren0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Roy Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.010.02633%-0.052-0.0400%0.00
Raef LaFrentz0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.10-0.040.02832%-0.141-0.02633%-0.08
Antonio McDyess0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.15-0.07-0.041054%0.017-0.20837%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.91.826.015.531.41.831.4132.7
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +18.3%
DEN +17.7%
DEN +21.8%
LAL -6.2%
LAL -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDENNBALALDENNBA
this game15.715.815.289.1102.2101.7
season15.314.8105.6101.5
opponent15.015.1103.798.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL17.615.715.014.915.7
DEN15.920.411.716.415.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Horry3130-0.04-0.460.41-0.071-121314.716.2-1.5716.415.41.01
Travis Knight119-0.09-0.410.33-0.03-2-9714.415.9-1.5411.816.2-4.42
Devean George1716-0.12-0.380.26-0.120-111112.916.3-3.4116.415.60.82
John Salley33-0.12-0.380.26-0.00-4-737.016.0-9.015.716.1-10.44
Ron Harper4745-0.13-0.370.250.08-7-4-316.814.62.1916.115.50.61
John Celestand2627-0.13-0.370.24-0.130-111112.716.9-4.1617.714.92.77
Glen Rice6361-0.24-0.260.03-0.15-3-8515.615.9-0.3115.915.40.53
Rick Fox2728-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.03-8-3-515.715.7-0.0715.216.0-0.73
Brian Shaw3335-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.18-3-8515.815.60.2015.815.70.07
Shaquille O'Neal7879-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.15-5-6116.212.83.4616.610.26.34
Derek Fisher7371-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.11-9-2-716.213.82.4315.118.2-3.19
A.C. Green5151-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.01-154-1917.213.93.2314.916.9-2.04

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raef LaFrentz58580.61-0.110.720.0519-82714.817.5-2.7616.614.22.44
Nick Van Exel76760.57-0.070.640.1016-52115.616.3-0.6916.312.83.52
James Posey66650.450.050.390.121101114.419.2-4.8015.416.5-1.08
Antonio McDyess64660.440.060.380.0314-31714.518.7-4.2416.413.92.55
Ron Mercer75760.400.100.310.1783515.715.9-0.2216.313.13.21
Ryan Bowen28300.240.26-0.010.0474317.015.21.7415.016.1-1.06
Keon Clark48490.040.46-0.420.22-617-2317.913.44.4414.417.2-2.80
Chris Herren1516-0.070.57-0.640.08-516-2116.315.60.6912.816.3-3.52
George McCloud1313-0.090.59-0.680.03-415-1920.115.05.0415.715.7-0.03
Roy Rogers1211-0.090.59-0.690.05-516-2118.915.33.6412.516.2-3.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 91, SAS 1000.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.3%
CHA 87, PHI 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.46,0.55,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.95,1,0.99,1,1,194.7%
PHI 99, CHI 1130.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%