NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	99		Excitement	4.6 [913]		MVP	Tyrus Thomas (CHI): +18.7%
Chicago Bulls	113		Comeback	3.6 [614]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): -12.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	100%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	18	51%	0.12	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Royal Ivey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Lou Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.01	0.07	11	67%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.03	15	53%	-0.01	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.06
Samuel Dalembert	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	10	41%	-0.02	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.05	0.03	10	71%	0.19	0	0.00	14	100%	0.07
Ben Gordon	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	19	60%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.02	4	100%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	12	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	11	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	13	62%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	3.5	29.2	19.8	25.3	3.6	35.2	144.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +14.4%

CHI +18.1%

CHI +5.3%

CHI +10.1%

CHI +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	16.4	15.4	15.5	110.0	124.2	106.4
season	15.5	14.8		105.3	106.3
opponent	15.7	15.9		107.2	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.6	18.8	20.2	12.7	16.4
CHI	17.3	13.9	14.1	16.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	48	49	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.17	5	-19	24	17.0	15.8	1.24	15.8	14.9	0.93
Willie Green	59	59	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.15	2	-16	18	16.4	16.5	-0.04	15.3	15.5	-0.19
Donyell Marshall	14	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-8	2	15.7	16.6	-0.84	16.5	15.2	1.23
Reggie Evans	40	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-12	10	17.0	15.9	1.08	15.9	15.0	0.90
Andre Iguodala	77	79	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-9	4	16.8	14.5	2.29	15.9	12.0	3.92
Theo Ratliff	27	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-1	-12	15.7	16.7	-1.08	14.0	16.0	-2.03
Andre Miller	69	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-10	6	16.5	16.0	0.49	16.0	13.6	2.41
Royal Ivey	22	24	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	2	-18	16.5	16.4	0.04	13.5	16.1	-2.59
Marreese Speights	51	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-2	-10	16.0	17.0	-0.97	15.1	15.8	-0.70
Lou Williams	43	43	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	5	-24	15.7	17.1	-1.48	14.7	16.1	-1.43

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	76	75	0.68	-0.18	0.85	-0.06	25	-11	36	14.8	18.5	-3.74	16.1	17.9	-1.73
Joakim Noah	57	56	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.04	22	-8	30	14.1	17.6	-3.58	16.6	16.1	0.54
Ben Gordon	72	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	5	4	15.6	14.7	0.91	16.4	16.5	-0.16
Tyrus Thomas	61	62	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	6	2	15.9	14.4	1.55	16.0	17.4	-1.46
John Salmons	72	73	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	12	-10	15.9	13.7	2.18	16.4	16.4	0.09
Brad Miller	52	52	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	9	-4	15.9	14.8	1.07	16.9	15.7	1.23
Kirk Hinrich	48	47	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	12	-10	15.9	14.9	0.95	17.0	15.8	1.25
Linton Johnson	5	5	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	10	-6	11.2	15.7	-4.45	15.4	16.5	-1.08
Aaron Gray	12	10	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.03	-7	21	-28	17.2	15.1	2.03	15.4	16.5	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 83, OKC 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
LAL 82, DEN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
PHI 91, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%