NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	5.2 [791]		MVP	Bruce Bowen (SAS): +8.1%
San Antonio Spurs	100		Comeback	3.0 [736]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -13.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Hunter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	10	70%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	5	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Chris Webber	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.04	16	31%	-0.10	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	0.05	-0.03	0.15	32	51%	-0.05	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	8	56%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.03	0.05	9	78%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	14	61%	0.08	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.00	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	42%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	14	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.6	26.4	16.7	31.1	2.3	29.6	133.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +38.7%

PHI -3.9%

SAS +7.3%

PHI -1.3%

SAS +9.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAS	NBA	PHI	SAS	NBA
this game	16.1	15.6	15.6	101.1	108.7	104.4
season	15.2	16.3		104.1	106.0
opponent	15.6	15.3		99.4	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.4	18.6	16.8	13.9	16.1
SAS	12.9	15.7	16.7	17.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Nailon	5	6	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-11	13	13.8	16.2	-2.41	17.5	15.4	2.06
James Thomas	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	6.0	16.2	-10.19	26.5	15.3	11.17
Shavlik Randolph	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-10	11	10.5	16.2	-5.70	20.7	15.4	5.26
John Salmons	34	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.24	6	-15	21	15.7	16.3	-0.60	16.6	14.9	1.79
Kevin Ollie	16	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-5	1	18.1	15.6	2.41	16.5	15.4	1.17
Steven Hunter	26	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-6	3	16.7	15.8	0.92	15.6	15.6	0.08
Kyle Korver	69	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-5	1	15.9	16.6	-0.71	15.1	17.2	-2.17
Chris Webber	74	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.17	-6	-3	-3	16.0	16.6	-0.67	15.4	16.4	-1.01
Andre Iguodala	69	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	5	-19	16.1	16.0	0.04	15.5	15.8	-0.28
Allen Iverson	82	83	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	16.0	17.1	-1.15	15.4	17.2	-1.82
Samuel Dalembert	72	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	7	-23	16.4	14.7	1.69	15.1	17.3	-2.27

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	69	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-9	27	15.1	17.1	-2.01	16.2	15.7	0.49
Tony Parker	64	63	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.09	15	-6	21	15.3	16.2	-0.87	16.9	14.2	2.70
Bruce Bowen	81	78	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	5	-1	15.5	15.9	-0.38	15.7	18.7	-3.08
Michael Finley	47	46	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	-3	15	15.0	16.2	-1.26	16.6	15.6	1.00
Nazr Mohammed	27	26	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	2	5	15.7	15.5	0.18	15.4	16.4	-0.97
Brent Barry	47	48	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.19	0	9	-9	15.6	15.6	-0.00	16.2	16.0	0.19
Rasho Nesterovic	54	53	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.12	1	8	-7	15.5	15.7	-0.27	16.9	14.9	1.92
Nick Van Exel	33	33	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	10	-11	16.5	15.0	1.51	15.0	16.7	-1.65
Robert Horry	32	30	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.21	-6	15	-21	16.1	15.3	0.75	15.4	16.4	-1.07
Fabricio Oberto	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	26.5	15.3	11.17	6.0	16.2	-10.19
Beno Udrih	4	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.07	-3	12	-15	20.0	15.4	4.62	10.5	16.2	-5.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 82, DEN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CLE 89, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	94.6%
PHI 99, CHI 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%