NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	87		Excitement	5.2 [790]		MVP	Andre Miller (PHI): +20.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	2.4 [596]		LVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): -21.8%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.01	0.05	13	75%	0.16	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Matt Carroll	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	90%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Raja Bell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	9	72%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sean Singletary	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	11	27%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	6	43%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.18	-0.04	-0.00	12	29%	-0.11	5	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.07	-0.00	12	76%	0.26	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.06	-0.05	13	56%	0.16	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	12	46%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	39%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	63%	0.07	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	30.3	14.8	26.2	2.6	30.2	129.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +22.0%

PHI +17.5%

PHI +1.5%

PHI +15.1%

CHA -6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHI	NBA	CHA	PHI	NBA
this game	18.0	16.4	15.5	103.6	112.0	106.4
season	16.5	15.5		103.0	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.6		105.5	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	20.2	20.1	17.7	14.0	18.0
PHI	14.8	15.9	14.2	21.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	18	19	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-9	12	14.4	19.0	-4.57	19.8	15.4	4.40
Juwan Howard	27	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-5	4	17.5	18.3	-0.82	18.6	15.5	3.10
Matt Carroll	28	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-5	4	18.4	17.9	0.48	14.2	17.5	-3.28
Sean Singletary	16	16	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-5	4	18.2	18.0	0.26	13.4	17.2	-3.73
D.J. Augustin	25	26	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	0	-6	16.6	18.6	-2.04	17.4	16.0	1.37
Gerald Wallace	70	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-5	4	17.5	20.7	-3.21	17.0	13.2	3.74
Raja Bell	43	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-5	4	18.7	17.4	1.31	16.7	16.1	0.57
Raymond Felton	63	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-1	-4	18.0	18.2	-0.27	17.2	14.2	3.02
Emeka Okafor	60	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	3	-12	19.0	15.7	3.32	15.1	19.7	-4.65
Boris Diaw	70	68	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.27	-8	2	-10	18.9	13.7	5.19	15.6	20.3	-4.66

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	67	68	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.26	14	-8	22	15.8	19.3	-3.55	18.6	15.6	2.98
Andre Iguodala	69	68	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-2	10	16.3	17.2	-0.92	17.5	20.5	-3.04
Thaddeus Young	67	71	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.30	3	3	0	15.9	18.9	-3.09	18.6	14.7	3.96
Samuel Dalembert	45	47	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	-4	14	13.7	19.7	-6.07	18.9	16.9	2.00
Lou Williams	49	48	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	4	-2	18.4	13.6	4.84	17.7	18.5	-0.86
Willie Green	34	36	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	2	2	13.6	18.4	-4.84	18.5	17.7	0.86
Marreese Speights	27	27	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	8	-10	20.0	14.7	5.27	16.7	18.7	-1.96
Reggie Evans	26	26	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	5	-4	18.6	15.5	3.10	17.5	18.3	-0.83
Theo Ratliff	14	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	7	-8	19.2	15.9	3.33	18.5	18.0	0.50
Royal Ivey	17	16	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.10	-9	15	-24	18.3	16.0	2.32	15.6	18.6	-2.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.46,0.55,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.95,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 82, DEN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
CLE 71, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
POR 84, SEA 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%