NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	86		Excitement	5.1 [788]		MVP	Hersey Hawkins (CHI): +10.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	1.9 [1047]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -20.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.18	-0.00	0.07	16	81%	0.16	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Kornel David	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	10	45%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dedric Willoughby	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	10	18%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Will Perdue	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	10	59%	0.04	7	-0.20	2	50%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	8	75%	0.12	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	40%	-0.02	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	54%	0.02	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	-0.00	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	10	40%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2	-0.20	-0.19	-0.03	-0.02	24	49%	-0.08	6	-0.12	23	70%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.4	27.2	15.0	25.2	2.4	38.5	137.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +17.5%

PHI +4.4%

PHI +13.3%

PHI +13.6%

PHI +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	14.4	15.2	87.8	94.8	101.7
season	16.5	15.0		91.8	99.5
opponent	15.5	14.9		98.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.2	16.0	14.8	15.9	15.2
PHI	14.1	14.0	13.5	16.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kornel David	10	9	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.08	7	-13	20	12.7	15.5	-2.75	17.6	14.0	3.52
Dedric Willoughby	39	37	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.18	9	-15	24	15.2	15.2	-0.03	15.7	13.5	2.17
Michael Ruffin	38	34	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.29	12	-18	30	14.1	15.9	-1.79	15.0	14.0	1.03
Chris Anstey	25	26	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.18	7	-13	20	16.6	14.7	1.86	15.9	13.8	2.08
Will Perdue	26	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	1	-8	15.2	15.2	0.08	13.0	14.8	-1.81
Metta World Peace	54	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	2	-10	15.5	14.8	0.73	14.8	13.9	0.87
Dickey Simpkins	41	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	1	-8	15.0	15.3	-0.26	14.3	14.4	-0.13
Hersey Hawkins	77	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.24	-6	0	-6	15.6	13.7	1.86	13.7	16.7	-3.00
Fred Hoiberg	55	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-1	-4	14.7	15.7	-0.98	14.4	14.4	-0.01
Randy Brown	59	60	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.14	-15	9	-24	15.2	15.2	0.03	13.5	15.7	-2.17
Elton Brand	66	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.12	-17	11	-28	15.3	14.8	0.54	14.0	15.2	-1.25

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	28	29	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-6	18	13.2	14.8	-1.56	14.7	15.4	-0.64
Allen Iverson	86	86	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	-1	8	14.3	14.6	-0.31	15.4	13.8	1.53
Aaron McKie	52	55	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	4	-2	15.0	13.7	1.29	14.9	15.5	-0.60
George Lynch	78	78	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.26	1	5	-4	14.3	14.6	-0.34	15.0	15.7	-0.72
Billy Owens	49	50	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	7	-8	14.3	14.4	-0.03	15.6	14.7	0.87
Todd MacCulloch	60	60	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	-1	8	14.2	14.5	-0.29	15.7	14.4	1.27
Stanley Roberts	25	26	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	2	2	14.4	14.3	0.05	15.4	15.1	0.34
Larry Hughes	38	37	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.15	10	-4	14	14.7	14.1	0.62	14.9	15.3	-0.41
Eric Snow	69	69	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.32	-12	18	-30	14.4	14.4	0.01	14.8	16.0	-1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 85, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
GSW 87, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NOH 86, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%