NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	85		Excitement	4.3 [983]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +14.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	98		Comeback	1.5 [920]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -9.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.02	-0.00	8	79%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Beno Udrih	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	10	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	16	57%	0.07	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02
Bruce Bowen	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	14	50%	-0.02	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	24	53%	0.11	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	4	112%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	6	75%	0.14	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	15	47%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.01	0.03	4	100%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.04	8	61%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	31.5	16.3	19.5	2.6	35.0	132.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +38.7%

LAC +1.6%

LAC +16.7%

SAS -8.1%

LAC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	17.0	15.1	15.6	95.5	108.9	104.4
season	16.3	15.2		106.0	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.6		102.1	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.9	17.6	17.7	17.0	17.0
LAC	14.2	13.7	15.8	17.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	24	24	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-17	21	15.3	17.7	-2.40	15.5	15.0	0.43
Sean Marks	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-11	9	4.7	17.5	-12.81	19.3	15.0	4.33
Fabricio Oberto	10	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-10	7	14.7	17.3	-2.64	15.2	15.1	0.04
Rasho Nesterovic	22	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.12	-1	-12	11	16.0	17.4	-1.33	15.2	15.1	0.05
Nazr Mohammed	38	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	-4	-5	16.9	17.2	-0.26	15.2	15.1	0.16
Bruce Bowen	59	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-9	5	17.5	16.1	1.43	15.2	15.0	0.22
Beno Udrih	46	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-16	19	17.1	17.0	0.18	15.0	15.3	-0.31
Manu Ginobili	56	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	-2	-9	16.8	17.4	-0.60	14.9	15.7	-0.81
Tim Duncan	52	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-3	-7	17.7	16.1	1.56	16.1	13.8	2.36
Michael Finley	48	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-7	1	17.7	16.3	1.35	14.1	16.3	-2.13
Robert Horry	28	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-4	-5	17.3	16.9	0.40	13.2	16.0	-2.75
Tony Parker	59	59	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	4	-21	17.7	15.7	1.98	15.9	13.7	2.14

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	77	77	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-1	15	15.5	13.2	2.33	16.6	19.6	-2.93
Chris Kaman	62	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-2	17	15.2	15.1	0.05	17.1	17.0	0.12
Quinton Ross	50	50	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.11	19	-6	25	16.0	14.1	1.88	17.1	16.9	0.17
Sam Cassell	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	5	3	15.5	14.0	1.57	16.8	17.8	-0.94
Cuttino Mobley	74	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	3	7	15.3	14.4	0.94	16.5	19.9	-3.39
Shaun Livingston	43	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	11	-9	15.1	15.2	-0.10	16.6	17.4	-0.85
Corey Maggette	34	33	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	15	-17	14.0	15.9	-1.89	18.5	16.2	2.29
Vladimir Radmanovic	42	41	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	14	-15	13.6	16.5	-2.90	18.3	15.9	2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 86, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	94.9%
MIA 93, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
TOR 84, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%