NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	86		Excitement	4.9 [845]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (NOH): +12.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	1.6 [742]		LVP	David West (NOH): -12.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.04	0.06	14	70%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julian Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	67%	0.09	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	14	53%	0.08	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Sean Marks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	8	12%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	15	33%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	16	74%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	1	100%	0.11	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	13	61%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	9	50%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.03	9	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jerryd Bayless	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	5	36%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Greg Oden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	12%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.7	28.0	14.8	27.5	1.8	28.2	126.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +25.6%

POR +13.9%

POR +4.4%

POR +1.7%

POR +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	POR	NBA	NOH	POR	NBA
this game	17.7	17.0	15.5	102.4	123.2	106.4
season	16.6	16.7		105.9	111.0
opponent	16.0	15.6		105.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.1	19.7	17.7	18.7	17.7
POR	17.6	18.2	13.5	19.2	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Wright	14	12	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-19	23	20.7	17.1	3.63	20.4	16.4	4.00
Tyson Chandler	50	51	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-10	5	18.1	17.1	0.96	17.5	16.3	1.19
Rasual Butler	43	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-12	9	19.6	15.7	3.87	18.4	15.6	2.88
James Posey	46	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-11	7	17.9	17.4	0.44	17.4	16.4	0.99
Sean Marks	12	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	-8	1	21.0	17.1	3.86	19.4	16.6	2.73
Peja Stojakovic	54	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-1	-13	17.2	18.6	-1.47	16.8	17.5	-0.71
Devin Brown	40	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-4	-7	17.0	18.3	-1.32	16.1	17.7	-1.58
Hilton Armstrong	34	31	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	-5	-5	17.1	18.1	-0.96	16.3	17.5	-1.19
David West	60	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-3	-9	16.2	21.5	-5.27	16.0	19.6	-3.60
Chris Paul	67	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.06	-13	-2	-11	17.3	19.2	-1.94	16.4	19.9	-3.51

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	51	53	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.05	23	-8	31	16.1	18.4	-2.28	18.0	17.1	0.94
Travis Outlaw	36	36	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	9	-3	17.7	16.4	1.29	17.9	17.5	0.44
Joel Przybilla	40	42	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	6	3	16.7	17.3	-0.59	17.8	17.6	0.24
Rudy Fernandez	41	44	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	6	3	17.6	16.4	1.17	18.7	16.6	2.13
Steve Blake	50	51	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.13	16	-1	17	16.4	18.0	-1.64	17.8	17.5	0.39
Brandon Roy	65	65	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	4	7	16.8	17.9	-1.11	17.6	18.0	-0.40
Sergio Rodriguez	29	30	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	15	-15	18.1	16.4	1.65	17.7	17.7	0.07
Greg Oden	41	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	9	-3	17.1	16.9	0.15	17.7	17.7	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	36	36	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	12	-9	16.7	17.3	-0.59	16.7	18.5	-1.79
Jerryd Bayless	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	26.0	16.9	9.11	13.0	17.7	-4.75
Ike Diogu	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	26.0	16.9	9.11	13.0	17.7	-4.75
Channing Frye	19	20	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.02	-8	23	-31	17.7	16.8	0.89	16.0	18.2	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 86, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	94.6%
WAS 86, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.63,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.36,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DEN 89, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%