NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	96		Excitement	5.4 [728]		MVP	Vernon Maxwell (SEA): +17.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	106		Comeback	1.1 [1036]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -12.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Ceballos	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	23	64%	0.18	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.03
Steve Nash	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	75%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	14	52%	0.01	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	15	42%	-0.06	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.08	-0.02	16	58%	0.17	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	12	58%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	22	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	11	61%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Fred Vinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.16	-0.01	-0.08	15	31%	-0.02	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	36.8	2.6	28.4	15.6	24.0	1.8	25.2	134.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +13.6%

SEA +8.1%

SEA +14.3%

SEA +11.6%

SEA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SEA	NBA	DAL	SEA	NBA
this game	13.7	14.9	15.2	96.0	105.0	101.7
season	14.8	14.9		104.2	103.5
opponent	15.4	14.8		102.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.2	13.8	13.2	12.7	13.7
SEA	13.0	13.3	15.6	17.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	51	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-15	20	13.5	14.0	-0.55	16.1	13.7	2.36
Hubert Davis	23	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-7	4	16.4	12.9	3.50	13.2	15.5	-2.29
Robert Pack	66	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-10	10	14.0	13.2	0.76	15.0	14.6	0.40
Dirk Nowitzki	62	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-4	-2	14.6	12.3	2.38	14.6	15.4	-0.77
Erick Strickland	56	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-1	-8	12.7	15.1	-2.45	14.2	15.7	-1.44
Steve Nash	56	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-3	-4	12.9	14.8	-1.88	16.1	13.4	2.74
Cedric Ceballos	70	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-6	2	13.2	15.0	-1.85	15.7	13.0	2.63
Michael Finley	61	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	4	-18	13.9	13.5	0.41	14.0	16.2	-2.22
Sean Rooks	40	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	5	-20	14.7	13.1	1.68	12.8	16.3	-3.50

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vin Baker	84	84	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.22	8	2	6	14.6	16.3	-1.66	13.2	16.7	-3.58
Horace Grant	74	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	0	10	15.1	14.5	0.54	13.9	13.4	0.46
Brent Barry	59	59	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	0	10	15.6	14.0	1.60	13.3	14.4	-1.14
Gary Payton	83	82	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.13	8	2	6	15.2	13.4	1.85	13.5	14.8	-1.33
Fred Vinson	7	7	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	1	8	9.4	15.3	-5.89	15.6	13.6	1.97
Vernon Maxwell	66	64	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.28	-2	12	-14	14.4	15.8	-1.40	13.3	14.5	-1.23
Rashard Lewis	33	32	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	6	-2	15.5	14.6	0.90	15.2	13.0	2.17
Jelani McCoy	27	26	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	7	-4	15.3	14.8	0.48	15.5	13.1	2.33
Ruben Patterson	58	58	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.10	-2	12	-14	15.2	14.6	0.61	13.0	14.7	-1.68
Vladimir Stepania	4	4	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	9	-8	10.5	15.1	-4.59	21.7	13.4	8.34
Shammond Williams	10	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	9	-8	13.9	15.0	-1.12	15.5	13.5	1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.93,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.7%
PHI 87, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1	94.6%
MIA 87, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.95,1	94.4%