inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 94 Excitement5.4 [716] MVPSam Mitchell (MIN): +10.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves 96 Comeback1.4 [663] LVPRasho Nesterovic (MIN): -14.0%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.011350%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.020.00375%0.052-0.052100%0.01
Olden Polynice-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Adam Keefe-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.000100%0.011-0.032100%0.01
Quincy Lewis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Armen Gilliam-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.00729%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Bryon Russell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.040.00-0.010.04850%-0.0400.00475%-0.00
John Stockton-0.070,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.020.021048%-0.041-0.03580%-0.00
Karl Malone-0.070,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.03-0.030.072655%-0.041-0.031275%-0.02
Greg Ostertag-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.0100%0.003-0.0700%0.00
Howard Eisley-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.020.00944%0.003-0.0900%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sam Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.110.110.070.050.01772%0.1100.00475%0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.060.060.010.050.002356%0.153-0.09683%0.01
Anthony Peeler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.010.021068%0.081-0.03250%-0.01
Terrell Brandon0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.010.02875%0.083-0.074100%0.02
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.03-0.01837%0.0200.0000%0.00
Dean Garrett00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Sealy0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.02-0.021537%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.0358%-0.0600.00250%-0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.13-0.010.00828%-0.073-0.07250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.91.625.216.827.62.651.4151.0
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +37.3%
UTA -2.8%
MIN +1.4%
MIN +7.6%
MIN +6.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAMINNBAUTAMINNBA
this game16.714.715.2102.2105.5101.7
season16.315.1104.5103.5
opponent15.715.2101.1100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA16.618.515.416.516.7
MIN15.414.315.913.514.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quincy Lewis1616-0.08-0.420.35-0.02-20-217.916.51.4015.814.51.29
Adam Keefe1313-0.15-0.350.21-0.202-4615.816.9-1.1013.215.0-1.86
Armen Gilliam1918-0.15-0.350.19-0.01-53-820.115.84.2014.714.8-0.10
Jacque Vaughn1919-0.20-0.300.10-0.05-53-820.315.84.4715.314.60.72
Jeff Hornacek6565-0.23-0.270.04-0.375-71215.320.2-4.9614.515.4-0.95
Greg Ostertag3228-0.23-0.270.04-0.05-64-1018.016.01.9714.714.8-0.05
Olden Polynice5052-0.24-0.260.02-0.18-20-217.216.20.9715.813.42.38
John Stockton5554-0.25-0.250.00-0.312-4615.518.5-3.0513.416.6-3.20
Bryon Russell6968-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.310-2215.620.0-4.3814.415.7-1.33
Howard Eisley4949-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.26-20-218.814.44.4015.813.52.27
Karl Malone7373-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.443-5815.820.1-4.2014.814.70.10

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Garnett81810.470.030.450.4411014.714.9-0.1716.518.4-1.87
Terrell Brandon55550.420.080.340.246-41014.714.8-0.0517.715.32.42
Malik Sealy68670.390.110.270.42-13-414.615.1-0.5115.719.5-3.79
Joe Smith40410.350.150.200.176-41015.614.11.4816.816.60.16
Anthony Peeler51530.270.230.040.36-35-814.215.5-1.3017.415.81.51
Sam Mitchell53530.210.29-0.080.2102-214.515.1-0.5215.917.8-1.87
Rasho Nesterovic52530.170.33-0.160.20-13-415.314.01.2617.415.81.60
Wally Szczerbiak14140.150.35-0.21-0.036-41014.414.8-0.4620.416.14.38
Bobby Jackson36370.080.42-0.340.20-46-1014.814.70.0515.317.7-2.42
Dean Garrett56-0.010.51-0.51-0.0102-213.814.8-1.0017.316.70.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 81, IND 940.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,195.5%
PHI 90, GSW 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,195.3%
DET 94, OKC 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,195.1%