NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	5.3 [758]		MVP	Courtney Lee (ORL): +18.0%
Orlando Magic	96		Comeback	1.7 [1133]		LVP	Lou Williams (PHI): -18.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.01	0.04	15	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.04	20	65%	0.17	4	-0.10	6	83%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	1	75%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Willie Green	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	14	58%	0.04	5	-0.14	8	62%	-0.02
Lou Williams	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-0.00	10	20%	-0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.06	0.01	17	63%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	10	52%	0.10	3	-0.05	11	82%	-0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.02	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.05
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	0.01	14	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	32.2	15.8	26.2	2.3	34.6	137.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +15.3%

ORL +9.9%

ORL +9.4%

ORL +12.0%

ORL +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.7	15.5	94.6	104.3	106.4
season	15.5	15.3		105.3	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.9		101.4	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.2	16.1	17.6	14.0	15.6
ORL	14.8	13.9	18.4	16.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	17	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-9	9	15.6	15.6	0.05	15.4	15.8	-0.42
Royal Ivey	16	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-5	1	15.2	15.7	-0.43	16.4	15.5	0.90
Willie Green	39	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-7	5	16.9	14.7	2.24	15.8	15.6	0.16
Reggie Evans	17	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	-2	-5	15.7	15.6	0.12	11.8	16.6	-4.75
Theo Ratliff	42	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-12	15	15.4	15.8	-0.38	17.1	14.5	2.57
Marreese Speights	16	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-4	-1	16.0	15.5	0.47	16.5	15.5	0.95
Thaddeus Young	79	80	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-8	7	15.3	17.2	-1.89	15.8	14.7	1.09
Donyell Marshall	15	15	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	2	-13	16.9	15.4	1.58	16.0	15.6	0.36
Andre Iguodala	87	86	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-3	-3	15.5	17.2	-1.68	15.9	12.8	3.06
Lou Williams	55	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-4	-1	15.1	16.4	-1.24	15.0	16.7	-1.69
Andre Miller	77	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-2	-5	15.5	16.1	-0.63	15.5	16.5	-0.92

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	81	82	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.22	13	-4	17	16.0	13.8	2.13	15.7	14.5	1.24
Marcin Gortat	35	34	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	-2	13	15.2	16.0	-0.80	13.8	16.7	-2.83
Hedo Turkoglu	78	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	1	7	15.7	15.6	0.06	15.4	16.5	-1.10
Courtney Lee	72	72	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	4	1	15.3	16.9	-1.60	15.6	15.8	-0.24
Rafer Alston	42	43	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	2	5	15.3	16.0	-0.67	16.1	15.2	0.87
Anthony Johnson	50	49	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.17	2	7	-5	16.0	15.3	0.67	15.2	16.1	-0.87
Mickael Pietrus	34	35	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	4	1	16.4	15.3	1.14	16.1	15.3	0.82
Dwight Howard	57	58	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.10	-2	11	-13	16.0	15.2	0.80	16.7	13.8	2.83
Tony Battie	11	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	13	-17	13.8	16.0	-2.13	14.5	15.7	-1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 97, GSW 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MIN 90, CHA 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
DAL 96, SEA 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.93,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%