inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 97 Excitement5.0 [661] MVPKlay Thompson (GSW): +14.3%
Golden State Warriors 112 Comeback1.6 [356] LVPJordan Hamilton (DEN): -11.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Harrington0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.00-0.011468%0.172-0.0600%0.00
Arron Afflalo0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.08-0.010.021162%0.0500.00475%-0.00
Ty Lawson0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.06-0.010.011568%0.144-0.104100%0.02
Kosta Koufos0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.100.000.08492%0.0100.00475%-0.01
Julyan Stone0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
JaVale McGee-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.00743%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Corey Brewer-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.01-0.04844%0.033-0.0600%0.00
Andre Miller-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.001154%0.023-0.064100%0.02
Kenneth Faried-0.110,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.01212%-0.062-0.05425%-0.04
Jordan Hamilton-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.15-0.01-0.0570%-0.082-0.0400%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Klay Thompson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.060.04-0.041162%0.171-0.02250%0.00
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.020.00571%0.0900.00475%0.01
Brandon Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.070.061759%0.101-0.0300%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.02861%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.010.011061%0.0400.003100%0.00
Dominic McGuire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00760%0.061-0.021100%0.01
David Lee0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.05-0.001553%0.103-0.06250%-0.01
Andris Biedrins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.002100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Mickell Gladness00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charles Jenkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01333%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Jeremy Tyler0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.060.00-0.01950%-0.014-0.052100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.72.526.216.829.22.631.2134.1
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +32.1%
GSW +1.3%
GSW +4.6%
GSW +12.6%
DEN -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENGSWNBADENGSWNBA
this game15.515.315.6103.2120.4102.8
season14.515.2107.5103.6
opponent15.415.8106.8104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.916.414.717.215.5
GSW14.314.916.615.515.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JaVale McGee46440.03-0.530.57-0.115-202515.115.9-0.7515.515.10.44
Julyan Stone660.00-0.500.50-0.093-182116.515.41.0818.715.13.59
Andre Miller5149-0.18-0.320.140.02-7-8115.515.5-0.0414.815.9-1.09
Al Harrington5856-0.18-0.320.130.08-9-6-315.116.1-0.9214.216.9-2.67
Corey Brewer5756-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.05-7-8115.615.40.2314.816.1-1.32
Kosta Koufos3333-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.07-7-8115.615.40.2316.514.61.91
Jordan Hamilton3436-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.08-8-7-116.015.20.7516.114.81.35
Kenneth Faried4040-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.05-11-4-715.815.20.5816.014.81.25
Arron Afflalo7878-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.04-13-2-1115.117.2-2.0515.415.00.37
Ty Lawson6767-0.520.02-0.550.09-216-2715.814.71.0515.016.1-1.06

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Lee75750.54-0.040.570.0417-21914.717.7-2.9915.117.1-2.03
Richard Jefferson51510.460.040.42-0.0417-21914.516.3-1.7815.715.30.39
Nate Robinson49500.450.050.40-0.0517-21914.116.6-2.5115.515.50.02
Klay Thompson44430.340.160.19-0.041321116.014.71.2215.615.40.17
Brandon Rush58590.330.170.160.01114714.716.3-1.5615.415.6-0.18
Dominic McGuire32330.170.33-0.160.03510-514.815.6-0.7117.014.72.33
Jeremy Tyler31320.100.40-0.300.07114-1316.114.91.1315.315.6-0.27
Charles Jenkins44440.050.45-0.400.11-217-1916.614.12.5115.515.5-0.02
Dorell Wright38390.040.46-0.420.07-116-1716.014.91.1215.015.8-0.79
Andris Biedrins35360.020.48-0.460.05-116-1716.014.91.1514.915.9-1.02
Mickell Gladness440.000.50-0.500.03-116-1719.215.14.1217.715.42.36
Chris Wright440.000.50-0.500.03-116-1719.215.14.1217.715.42.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 94, DET 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,195.8%
VAN 105, NJN 1110.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,194.7%
PHI 87, ORL 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,194.7%