NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	94		Excitement	4.6 [871]		MVP	David Robinson (SAS): +15.6%
Detroit Pistons	103		Comeback	1.7 [615]		LVP	Jaren Jackson (SAS): -14.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Robinson	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.02	13	81%	0.18	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.03
Tim Duncan	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	-0.00	14	71%	0.13	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.03
Vinny Del Negro	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	0.00	0.09	15	70%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Herrera	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Will Perdue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Burton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Geary	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	7	0%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.05	0.03	13	61%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.01	9	68%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	14	63%	0.12	4	-0.09	10	100%	0.05
Bison Dele	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	11	48%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Steve Henson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Mahorn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	16	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	12	67%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	27.2	15.6	30.7	2.0	26.0	125.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +32.6%

DET +0.2%

DET +12.6%

DET +3.0%

DET +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	DET	NBA	SAS	DET	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.6	104.4	114.4	102.5
season	15.9	15.9		100.9	102.8
opponent	15.9	15.9		101.1	97.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.5	18.2	16.4	13.7	15.9
DET	16.5	13.1	17.1	17.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	7.5	16.1	-8.61	10.0	16.2	-6.22
Carl Herrera	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-12	15	13.9	16.2	-2.28	16.5	16.0	0.47
Willie Burton	12	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-11	13	14.6	16.1	-1.54	17.2	15.9	1.26
Monty Williams	32	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-5	1	17.4	15.1	2.35	16.6	15.8	0.75
Reggie Geary	30	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-9	9	14.6	16.6	-2.03	16.4	15.9	0.50
Jaren Jackson	40	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-9	9	14.5	17.1	-2.61	16.5	15.7	0.75
Will Perdue	12	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-1	-7	21.0	15.1	5.86	12.3	16.7	-4.41
Chuck Person	24	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	1	-11	15.7	16.0	-0.23	13.2	17.2	-4.06
Avery Johnson	54	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-1	-7	17.1	14.1	2.97	15.8	16.6	-0.80
Tim Duncan	81	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-6	3	15.6	18.8	-3.17	16.6	11.6	5.02
Vinny Del Negro	78	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-2	-5	16.0	15.4	0.58	16.6	13.2	3.33
David Robinson	75	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	1	-11	15.9	15.8	0.15	16.3	15.1	1.23

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	78	78	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-7	23	16.0	16.7	-0.68	16.4	12.9	3.47
Joe Dumars	74	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	0	9	16.4	14.4	2.07	15.8	16.6	-0.85
Jerry Stackhouse	60	59	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	-3	15	15.4	17.5	-2.13	15.7	16.3	-0.56
Jerome Williams	41	41	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-3	15	15.4	16.6	-1.17	16.3	15.6	0.73
Scot Pollard	13	14	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	-1	11	12.6	16.7	-4.05	18.1	15.5	2.55
Rick Mahorn	26	25	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	2	5	14.9	16.5	-1.62	17.1	15.5	1.66
Bison Dele	52	52	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	11	-13	16.5	15.5	1.05	14.9	17.3	-2.46
Don Reid	48	48	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.28	-9	18	-27	17.7	14.2	3.49	15.5	16.5	-0.99
Steve Henson	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	13.0	16.1	-3.11	7.0	16.0	-9.02
Lindsey Hunter	57	58	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.21	-8	17	-25	16.5	15.3	1.22	15.8	16.1	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 97, GSW 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
CLE 98, CHH 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.2%
HOU 80, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.98,1,1,1	94.7%