NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	4.9 [812]		MVP	Elden Campbell (CHH): +11.3%
Charlotte Hornets	109		Comeback	1.7 [829]		LVP	Andre Miller (CLE): -18.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Gatling	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.01	8	69%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.15	-0.01	0.05	18	70%	0.09	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.03
Chris Mihm	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	71%	0.03	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	59%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Trajan Langdon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Hawkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	12	55%	-0.05	5	-0.13	7	71%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.01	11	77%	0.15	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	79%	0.06	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	7	70%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	25	52%	0.03	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	8	43%	-0.03	4	-0.07	5	60%	-0.03
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	16	34%	-0.08	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	29.8	14.8	25.8	2.5	32.5	130.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +16.3%

CLE -1.1%

CHH +18.0%

CHH +6.6%

CHH +10.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHH	NBA	CLE	CHH	NBA
this game	15.7	15.4	15.5	105.4	118.5	100.9
season	15.3	15.8		98.4	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.6		97.0	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.7	18.5	17.0	13.7	15.7
CHH	17.0	14.2	12.4	18.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clar. Weatherspoon	47	47	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-10	9	15.8	15.6	0.26	15.0	15.8	-0.80
Chris Mihm	36	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-14	17	14.3	16.6	-2.32	15.8	15.2	0.65
Matt Harpring	27	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-7	3	14.7	16.1	-1.35	11.5	17.1	-5.60
Cedric Henderson	6	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-4	-3	20.3	15.4	4.95	12.9	15.6	-2.79
Robert Traylor	12	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-2	-7	18.0	15.4	2.64	13.5	15.7	-2.23
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	37	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-5	-1	17.7	14.4	3.37	15.3	15.5	-0.28
Andre Miller	83	83	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-12	13	15.6	16.4	-0.79	15.6	13.9	1.71
Michael Hawkins	10	9	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.09	-12	1	-13	16.4	15.6	0.79	13.9	15.6	-1.71
Lamond Murray	78	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-6	1	15.6	16.2	-0.60	16.2	11.9	4.31
Chris Gatling	54	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-2	-7	14.6	17.2	-2.55	16.1	14.6	1.48
Trajan Langdon	75	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-5	-1	15.8	15.4	0.38	16.4	11.7	4.66

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	75	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	0	11	15.2	16.4	-1.20	15.4	17.2	-1.80
David Wesley	75	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	0	11	15.2	16.4	-1.20	15.4	17.2	-1.80
Baron Davis	77	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-1	13	15.7	13.9	1.87	16.5	11.7	4.84
Elden Campbell	61	62	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	4	3	16.3	13.7	2.55	16.1	14.8	1.34
Lee Nailon	16	16	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.09	12	-1	13	12.4	16.1	-3.70	17.1	15.4	1.72
P.J. Brown	76	77	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.26	-1	12	-13	16.1	12.4	3.70	15.4	17.1	-1.72
Jamaal Magloire	31	31	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	7	-3	13.7	16.3	-2.55	14.8	16.1	-1.34
Eldridge Recasner	32	32	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	12	-13	15.2	15.5	-0.33	14.4	16.4	-1.92
Eddie Robinson	17	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	11	-11	16.4	15.2	1.20	17.2	15.4	1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	95.6%
ORL 72, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
SAS 94, DET 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	95.2%