NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	80		Excitement	4.6 [922]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +18.5%
Utah Jazz	90		Comeback	1.5 [939]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (HOU): -13.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	15	58%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Barrett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	17	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Tyronn Lue	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	44%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	10	41%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	7	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.06	0.03	8	100%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	14	62%	0.12	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	71%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	13	47%	0.00	3	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	10	40%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.7	29.2	14.8	26.0	2.0	22.5	121.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +44.6%

UTA +5.1%

UTA +3.6%

HOU -3.9%

UTA +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	17.6	17.7	15.5	98.8	109.8	104.0
season	16.0	16.7		104.2	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.8		106.7	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.9	21.2	16.1	16.4	17.6
UTA	19.1	14.1	19.9	17.9	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	29	26	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.14	10	-20	30	18.0	17.4	0.65	19.7	16.8	2.95
Clar. Weatherspoon	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-10	10	18.0	17.6	0.39	7.5	18.0	-10.48
Bostjan Nachbar	26	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.11	3	-13	16	19.1	16.9	2.15	17.6	17.8	-0.11
Andre Barrett	26	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-16	22	16.5	18.2	-1.70	19.0	17.1	1.90
Scott Padgett	34	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.26	5	-15	20	17.4	17.8	-0.46	17.0	18.2	-1.28
Charlie Ward	21	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-4	-2	19.0	17.1	1.93	19.3	17.2	2.09
Maurice Taylor	44	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-5	0	17.5	17.8	-0.36	17.8	17.7	0.11
Juwan Howard	10	11	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	1	-12	21.3	17.1	4.20	16.4	17.9	-1.57
Tyronn Lue	34	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	0	-10	17.6	17.6	0.00	16.0	19.2	-3.18
Jim Jackson	74	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	-3	-4	17.4	20.4	-3.08	17.9	15.5	2.39
Tracy McGrady	62	63	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.09	-16	6	-22	17.3	18.6	-1.26	17.5	18.3	-0.78
Yao Ming	44	47	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.03	-19	9	-28	16.9	18.5	-1.65	17.9	17.5	0.31

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	70	69	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.12	17	-7	24	17.4	19.3	-1.89	17.4	18.8	-1.43
Mehmet Okur	43	41	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-3	16	15.9	19.7	-3.81	18.8	16.4	2.31
Howard Eisley	33	31	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	0	10	16.1	18.8	-2.73	19.4	16.5	2.81
Raja Bell	39	38	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	1	8	17.3	18.1	-0.83	18.8	16.5	2.31
Matt Harpring	47	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	7	-4	17.0	18.7	-1.79	19.5	15.1	4.41
Gordan Giricek	41	42	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.13	1	9	-8	18.6	16.8	1.83	16.5	18.8	-2.32
Carlos Arroyo	49	50	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	10	-10	18.8	16.1	2.73	16.5	19.4	-2.81
Carlos Boozer	47	47	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	10	-10	18.9	16.1	2.75	16.1	19.8	-3.70
Jarron Collins	24	25	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	9	-8	22.3	15.8	6.46	14.9	18.8	-3.90
Kirk Snyder	2	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	10	-10	7.5	18.0	-10.48	18.0	17.6	0.39
Curtis Borchardt	15	15	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	14	-18	15.6	18.2	-2.59	19.0	17.3	1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, CLE 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1	95.6%
SAS 94, DET 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	94.7%
NJN 85, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	94.7%