NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	105		Excitement	5.1 [770]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +15.8%
New Jersey Nets	111		Comeback	1.6 [1065]		LVP	Shawn Bradley (NJN): -7.6%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	0.00	0.07	28	62%	0.11	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.01
Roy Rogers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.04	-0.00	0.05	17	59%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Greg Anthony	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	7	53%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Pete Chilcutt	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Moten	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	19	49%	0.01	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.02	-0.04	20	62%	0.16	0	0.00	12	75%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	52%	0.01	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.06
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Khalid Reeves	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	9	50%	0.06	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	20	48%	0.01	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.04
Yinka Dare	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	22	36%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	25.5	13.8	26.8	2.6	34.4	127.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +11.8%

NJN +5.8%

NJN +28.2%

NJN +4.5%

VAN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	NJN	NBA	VAN	NJN	NBA
this game	15.7	15.7	15.6	115.4	120.7	104.4
season	16.3	15.4		97.9	101.7
opponent	14.9	15.5		106.6	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	15.7	16.8	16.8	14.0	15.7
NJN	17.0	15.3	15.9	14.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	16	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-6	6	13.5	16.2	-2.73	15.8	15.7	0.09
Chris Robinson	31	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-4	2	15.5	15.8	-0.30	15.5	15.9	-0.40
Greg Anthony	56	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-7	8	15.6	16.0	-0.41	15.6	15.9	-0.30
Pete Chilcutt	6	7	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	0	-6	15.2	15.8	-0.62	12.9	16.0	-3.11
Bryant Reeves	62	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.21	-1	-5	4	16.6	13.9	2.67	16.2	14.7	1.46
Roy Rogers	68	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	0	-6	16.5	13.6	2.92	16.1	14.7	1.44
Lee Mayberry	35	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	1	-8	16.0	15.6	0.41	15.9	15.6	0.30
Anthony Peeler	81	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-8	10	15.8	15.4	0.39	16.0	13.8	2.18
Lawrence Moten	27	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	1	-8	12.9	17.0	-4.06	13.6	16.7	-3.10
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	73	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-2	-2	16.0	14.8	1.14	15.9	15.1	0.75

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	65	63	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-2	10	16.1	14.9	1.19	16.2	14.7	1.54
Khalid Reeves	76	74	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	-2	10	15.3	17.6	-2.30	15.8	15.4	0.48
Kendall Gill	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.23	7	-1	8	15.9	15.0	0.94	15.3	17.3	-1.99
Kerry Kittles	85	84	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	4	-2	15.7	15.9	-0.14	15.5	19.3	-3.83
Shawn Bradley	75	75	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	-1	8	15.9	14.8	1.11	15.3	17.6	-2.28
Ed O'Bannon	38	38	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	-3	12	15.8	15.7	0.10	16.8	15.0	1.74
Yinka Dare	12	11	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	9	-12	15.2	15.8	-0.55	18.3	15.4	2.87
Xavier McDaniel	38	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.21	-8	14	-22	15.2	16.1	-0.84	15.3	16.1	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 89, HOU 103	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CHA 115, LAL 129	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.69,0.77,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIA 80, PHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%