NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	115		Excitement	4.6 [930]		MVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (LAL): +22.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	129		Comeback	1.9 [428]		LVP	Jeremy Lamb (CHA): -11.7%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Kaminsky	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.03	6	87%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Devonte' Graham	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	6	85%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	0.00	0.08	11	77%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.07	14	70%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.05	11	59%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	18	59%	0.06	4	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	62%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Monk	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	0.03	11	27%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.23	0.03	0.03	14	81%	0.22	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	16	62%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	9	70%	0.14	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Johnathan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	7	81%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	6	71%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	6	58%	0.08	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	4	67%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Isaac Bonga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Machado	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.11	19	67%	0.05	6	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	9	39%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	27.3	15.4	25.6	2.4	24.6	122.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +51.8%

CHA -8.3%

LAL +3.3%

LAL +5.0%

CHA -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	LAL	NBA	CHA	LAL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.1	14.3	116.2	133.0	109.3
season	14.6	13.5		110.4	107.2
opponent	14.2	14.3		108.7	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	12.5	13.6	16.3	15.3	14.3
LAL	13.7	15.8	14.4	16.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	16	17	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.21	9	-23	32	15.1	14.0	1.15	13.7	15.2	-1.49
Frank Kaminsky	33	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-19	24	14.5	14.0	0.58	14.2	15.3	-1.17
Willy Hernangomez	19	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-12	10	14.6	14.1	0.52	15.1	14.9	0.14
Malik Monk	18	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-11	8	12.0	14.6	-2.63	14.4	15.1	-0.67
Jeremy Lamb	42	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-9	4	14.1	14.2	-0.15	13.9	15.7	-1.84
Bismack Biyombo	40	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-7	0	13.9	14.3	-0.39	14.8	15.0	-0.29
Marvin Williams	61	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.20	-17	3	-20	14.2	14.1	0.18	15.3	14.3	1.06
Devonte' Graham	48	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-3	-8	14.0	14.3	-0.31	15.4	14.6	0.77
Miles Bridges	70	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-3	-8	14.0	14.6	-0.63	15.0	14.9	0.05
Kemba Walker	76	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	0	-14	14.4	13.4	0.98	15.6	12.6	2.97
Dwayne Bacon	77	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	0	-14	14.4	13.5	0.83	15.1	14.5	0.60

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	59	61	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.05	15	-1	16	15.4	14.3	1.13	14.1	14.2	-0.12
Kyle Kuzma	67	67	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	4	6	14.4	16.0	-1.55	13.8	14.8	-1.03
LeBron James	67	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	0	14	14.9	15.1	-0.18	14.3	13.8	0.51
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	67	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	2	10	15.0	14.8	0.15	13.9	14.7	-0.77
Rajon Rondo	72	74	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	4	6	15.0	14.9	0.07	14.1	14.4	-0.36
JaVale McGee	53	55	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.10	12	2	10	15.3	14.5	0.87	14.3	14.0	0.21
Johnathan Williams	44	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	14	-14	14.5	15.3	-0.80	14.2	14.1	0.12
Moritz Wagner	22	23	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	11	-8	14.3	15.1	-0.86	14.7	14.0	0.64
Alex Caruso	35	35	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	14	-14	15.6	14.6	1.07	14.9	13.8	1.16
Isaac Bonga	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	13.5	15.0	-1.47	12.0	14.2	-2.20
Scott Machado	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	13.5	15.0	-1.47	12.0	14.2	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.69,0.77,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 89, HOU 103	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
VAN 105, NJN 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.3%
SAC 105, HOU 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%