NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	89		Excitement	4.6 [875]		MVP	Anthony Carter (DEN): +10.0%
Houston Rockets	103		Comeback	1.6 [776]		LVP	Allen Iverson (DEN): -19.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Carter	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.08	17	47%	0.05	4	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Steven Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	5	30%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.02	0.00	13	35%	-0.08	4	-0.09	8	50%	-0.06
Allen Iverson	-0.20	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.03	0.03	22	36%	-0.10	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	15	65%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	5	82%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	8	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.01	15	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.07	21	50%	0.12	6	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	18	50%	0.04	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	3.6	32.5	18.7	25.3	3.6	32.0	137.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +36.8%

DEN -0.8%

HOU +6.6%

HOU +5.7%

HOU +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	HOU	NBA	DEN	HOU	NBA
this game	13.3	16.8	15.4	93.7	107.3	105.7
season	13.3	16.2		108.2	104.6
opponent	15.2	15.2		100.3	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	11.0	14.0	15.2	13.3	13.3
HOU	17.1	14.8	17.5	18.0	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	11.0	13.4	-2.43	16.2	16.8	-0.59
Taurean Green	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-17	20	11.0	13.4	-2.40	20.5	16.7	3.77
Yakhouba Diawara	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	11.0	13.4	-2.43	16.2	16.8	-0.59
J.R. Smith	49	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-13	12	13.8	12.8	1.05	17.4	16.3	1.08
Anthony Carter	45	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-7	0	13.2	13.5	-0.32	16.7	16.9	-0.18
Eduardo Najera	38	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-8	2	13.5	13.2	0.33	16.3	17.2	-0.88
Linas Kleiza	36	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-4	-6	13.4	13.3	0.19	16.1	17.3	-1.21
Marcus Camby	66	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-5	-4	12.9	14.3	-1.47	16.8	16.9	-0.13
Kenyon Martin	72	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-1	-12	13.6	12.4	1.18	17.1	16.0	1.11
Carmelo Anthony	77	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	0	-14	13.2	14.1	-0.90	16.8	17.0	-0.23
Allen Iverson	81	82	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	-1	-12	13.6	12.0	1.56	16.9	16.1	0.87

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	85	82	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.00	17	-3	20	16.5	19.3	-2.78	13.4	13.1	0.29
Luis Scola	67	65	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	0	14	17.1	16.2	0.82	13.4	13.2	0.14
Shane Battier	85	82	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-3	20	16.9	15.9	1.02	13.3	13.6	-0.33
Rafer Alston	66	64	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	0	14	16.5	17.5	-0.95	13.1	13.9	-0.81
Carl Landry	48	48	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	4	6	16.5	17.1	-0.67	13.1	13.5	-0.36
Dikembe Mutombo	48	47	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	10	-6	17.1	16.5	0.67	13.5	13.1	0.36
Bobby Jackson	28	28	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	11	-8	17.2	16.6	0.62	14.2	13.0	1.21
Luther Head	31	33	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	13	-12	16.9	16.8	0.13	13.5	13.3	0.20
Steve Novak	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	20.5	16.7	3.77	11.0	13.4	-2.40
Aaron Brooks	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	20.5	16.7	3.77	11.0	13.4	-2.40
Bobby Jones	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	20.5	16.7	3.77	11.0	13.4	-2.40
Charles Hayes	16	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	15	-16	15.7	17.0	-1.28	13.8	13.2	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 115, LAL 129	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.69,0.77,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
VAN 105, NJN 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.3%
TOR 101, DAL 129	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%