inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 96 Excitement6.8 [460] MVPMichael Finley (DAL): +14.8%
Dallas Mavericks 108 Comeback1.0 [952] LVPAntawn Jamison (GSW): -36.1%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Starks0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.01-0.041467%0.183-0.07250%-0.01
Chris Mills0.070,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.02-0.021264%0.153-0.084100%0.02
Jason Caffey0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00660%0.0300.003100%0.02
Tony Farmer0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.010.01564%0.021-0.02475%0.01
Terry Cummings-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.02-0.00845%-0.0100.00667%-0.01
Tim Legler-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Vonteego Cummings-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.021150%0.022-0.05475%0.02
Damon Jones-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.0000%0.003-0.0800%0.00
Adonal Foyle-0.120,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.00333%-0.014-0.1100%0.00
Donyell Marshall-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.08-0.09-0.01933%-0.082-0.0700%0.00
Antawn Jamison-0.360,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.29,-0.32,-0.32,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36-0.20-0.150.011330%-0.175-0.19475%-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.050.110.012355%0.202-0.051100%0.01
Cedric Ceballos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.020.001956%0.073-0.071090%0.03
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02542%0.0000.00250%0.00
Randell Jackson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hubert Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.000.03558%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Robert Pack0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.020.01867%0.052-0.062100%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.010.01553%-0.0200.00771%0.00
Sean Rooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.02-0.03250%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00757%0.093-0.1200%0.00
Erick Strickland0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.011137%-0.091-0.021080%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.21.728.317.525.41.736.3137.0
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +15.4%
DAL +13.5%
GSW -7.6%
DAL +28.7%
GSW -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDALNBAGSWDALNBA
this game14.414.015.295.0105.9101.7
season14.714.897.2104.2
opponent14.814.7104.6105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.813.317.015.014.4
DAL13.412.915.015.014.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terry Cummings39400.05-0.550.60-0.136-182414.714.20.4717.211.95.35
Tony Farmer3533-0.07-0.430.37-0.01-2-10814.614.30.3012.714.6-1.97
Adonal Foyle3133-0.07-0.430.360.07-5-7213.314.9-1.5712.714.6-1.88
Tim Legler1011-0.11-0.390.280.04-5-7215.514.31.258.714.6-5.91
Damon Jones2323-0.12-0.380.25-0.04-3-9613.614.6-1.0511.914.6-2.69
Jason Caffey3029-0.16-0.340.18-0.160-121215.513.91.6014.713.70.92
Donyell Marshall4545-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.09-7-5-214.614.20.4012.115.5-3.42
John Starks7477-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.17-5-7213.616.4-2.8214.412.61.80
Vonteego Cummings7878-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.09-9-3-614.613.61.0514.811.43.38
Chris Mills6972-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.07-10-2-814.314.5-0.1815.410.64.82
Antawn Jamison7169-0.690.19-0.87-0.10-208-2814.713.70.9613.016.1-3.09

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Erick Strickland95920.75-0.250.990.1620-82813.816.9-3.0714.314.7-0.32
Shawn Bradley41390.58-0.080.650.1116-42013.114.6-1.5514.214.5-0.28
Michael Finley90900.380.120.250.08102814.212.71.4214.314.7-0.39
Steve Nash56550.310.190.120.0784413.314.8-1.5013.815.1-1.31
Hubert Davis43420.240.26-0.030.0957-214.413.70.7613.814.8-1.01
Robert Pack46460.190.31-0.120.0748-414.813.31.5015.113.81.31
Cedric Ceballos71700.130.37-0.230.11111-1014.512.91.5814.015.2-1.13
Sean Rooks21220.070.43-0.360.01210-814.114.00.1215.514.11.38
Randell Jackson220.000.50-0.500.00012-125.014.2-9.188.514.5-5.99
Dirk Nowitzki4547-0.140.64-0.780.04-618-2414.113.90.2415.413.42.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.83,0.81,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.96,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 101, DAL 1050.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.75,0.87,0.98,0.93,0.84,0.85,194.3%
PHI 72, HOU 770.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.98,193.9%
SAS 115, NYK 1280.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.73,0.77,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.99,1,1,193.7%