NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	115		Excitement	6.5 [515]		MVP	Wilson Chandler (NYK): +33.2%
New York Knicks	128		Comeback	1.2 [427]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -14.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.01	8	65%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Tony Parker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	15	63%	0.13	2	-0.06	11	73%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	12	65%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
George Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	93%	0.14	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	11	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Antonio McDyess	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	14	44%	-0.04	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.20	0.13	0.00	19	77%	0.38	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.19	0.08	0.04	17	70%	0.23	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	17	67%	0.16	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01
Landry Fields	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	57%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	6	46%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.00	10	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	32.2	16.7	24.4	2.7	29.2	132.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +32.1%

NYK +3.3%

SAS -13.7%

NYK +33.0%

SAS -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NYK	NBA	SAS	NYK	NBA
this game	14.1	15.4	15.5	118.6	130.6	105.7
season	15.5	14.3		109.3	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		108.4	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.4	13.3	13.8	15.1	14.1
NYK	13.8	13.9	15.6	19.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Quinn	4	4	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-10	7	14.5	14.1	0.42	23.5	15.1	8.40
Ime Udoka	4	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-10	7	14.5	14.1	0.42	27.0	14.8	12.18
Tiago Splitter	4	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-10	7	14.5	14.1	0.42	27.0	14.8	12.18
Matt Bonner	26	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.10	-6	-7	1	14.9	13.8	1.13	13.7	16.0	-2.31
Antonio McDyess	40	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-12	11	12.9	14.9	-1.94	14.6	16.0	-1.38
Gary Neal	45	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-7	1	13.4	14.7	-1.38	16.2	14.7	1.51
DeJuan Blair	37	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-8	3	14.0	14.2	-0.19	15.0	15.7	-0.73
Richard Jefferson	70	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-10	7	14.3	13.4	0.90	15.2	16.1	-0.98
Tony Parker	65	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-9	5	14.4	13.4	1.02	15.5	15.3	0.16
George Hill	61	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	-5	-3	13.9	14.4	-0.47	14.8	16.7	-1.94
Tim Duncan	59	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.13	-9	-4	-5	14.6	13.3	1.23	15.3	15.7	-0.46
Manu Ginobili	70	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.21	-14	1	-15	14.1	14.1	-0.03	15.1	16.2	-1.14

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	82	80	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.09	16	-3	19	15.9	13.0	2.91	14.1	14.0	0.11
Toney Douglas	59	57	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-1	15	15.9	14.8	1.07	14.5	13.6	0.88
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	2	9	15.8	14.5	1.33	14.4	13.1	1.36
Wilson Chandler	77	78	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	4	5	15.6	14.7	0.98	14.0	14.4	-0.41
Raymond Felton	73	74	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	5	3	15.7	14.6	1.07	14.1	14.0	0.12
Ronny Turiaf	44	44	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	6	1	14.2	16.5	-2.32	14.0	14.2	-0.25
Henry Walker	38	37	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	14	-15	14.9	15.8	-0.85	13.6	14.4	-0.85
Shawne Williams	45	43	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	12	-11	14.3	16.4	-2.04	13.7	14.4	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.73,0.77,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 82, SAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.92,1	94.3%
BOS 88, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.88,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%
DAL 106, SAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	93.7%