NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	101		Excitement	6.9 [431]		MVP	Chris Gatling (DAL): +24.5%
Dallas Mavericks	105		Comeback	1.5 [780]		LVP	Will Perdue (SAS): -9.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.15,0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	18	54%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Dominique Wilkins	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.06	0.02	17	64%	0.16	3	-0.10	16	94%	0.12
Avery Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	10	55%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.02	10	55%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vinny Del Negro	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.01	4	87%	0.04	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	9	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Carl Herrera	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	6	47%	-0.03	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.12	-0.03	13	70%	0.27	1	-0.02	11	73%	0.02
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.13	0.00	14	66%	0.24	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.05
George McCloud	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	13	73%	0.20	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.01	8	60%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Eric Montross	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Loren Meyer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.6	25.2	16.4	24.5	2.3	39.5	132.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +67.0%

DAL +11.6%

SAS -25.6%

DAL +0.5%

SAS -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	DAL	NBA	SAS	DAL	NBA
this game	19.0	16.7	15.6	124.7	131.2	104.4
season	16.8	15.9		100.8	99.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.5	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	19.8	20.3	16.9	19.4	19.0
DAL	15.2	16.7	15.9	19.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anderson	9	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-4	4	18.9	19.1	-0.17	14.0	17.1	-3.07
Carl Herrera	18	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-2	0	20.2	18.7	1.52	14.2	17.4	-3.24
Monty Williams	39	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.35	8	-12	20	19.7	18.4	1.36	18.2	15.3	2.89
Vernon Maxwell	55	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.45	8	-12	20	18.5	20.2	-1.70	17.5	15.2	2.33
Vinny Del Negro	35	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	9	-22	19.1	19.0	0.09	13.1	19.6	-6.47
Dominique Wilkins	60	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-3	2	19.3	18.3	0.95	17.5	14.1	3.44
Will Perdue	43	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	9	-22	18.3	19.9	-1.57	15.5	18.0	-2.48
Avery Johnson	74	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-1	-2	19.0	19.6	-0.58	17.7	7.7	9.97
Sean Elliott	72	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.38	-4	0	-4	19.1	18.9	0.17	17.1	14.0	3.07

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	76	75	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.41	10	-6	16	16.0	31.0	-15.03	18.6	24.2	-5.54
George McCloud	65	67	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	-1	6	16.9	16.1	0.81	19.0	19.1	-0.04
Chris Gatling	59	60	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.44	1	3	-2	16.7	16.9	-0.24	18.6	20.3	-1.75
Jim Jackson	74	74	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	4	-4	17.1	12.5	4.57	19.4	15.3	4.11
Derek Harper	59	59	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.48	-5	9	-14	17.7	14.0	3.63	18.6	20.1	-1.51
Eric Montross	36	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	-1	6	15.9	17.4	-1.57	18.3	19.7	-1.31
Loren Meyer	12	13	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.16	6	-2	8	14.2	17.2	-3.01	21.8	18.5	3.25
Oliver Miller	19	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	6	-8	18.4	16.2	2.16	21.5	18.3	3.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.75,0.87,0.98,0.93,0.84,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 96, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.83,0.81,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.96,1,1	94.3%
POR 102, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.98,1	93.7%
DET 91, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.92,1	93.6%