NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	72		Excitement	5.7 [664]		MVP	Kenny Thomas (HOU): +10.8%
Houston Rockets	77		Comeback	1.3 [1079]		LVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): -27.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	20	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Speedy Claxton	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	12	53%	-0.00	4	-0.15	6	67%	-0.04
Aaron McKie	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.22	-0.09	-0.04	15	25%	-0.12	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.08	-0.01	8	67%	0.17	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	64%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	13	42%	0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	13	53%	0.05	4	-0.12	8	100%	0.05
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	10	10%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	5	0%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	28.3	19.3	28.6	2.6	39.3	143.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +15.6%

HOU +15.0%

HOU +1.6%

HOU +13.5%

HOU +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	HOU	NBA	PHI	HOU	NBA
this game	16.3	17.6	15.6	83.7	91.7	102.3
season	15.9	16.8		99.3	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.6		106.4	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.6	16.4	18.9	13.1	16.3
HOU	14.0	20.6	14.5	21.8	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vonteego Cummings	4	5	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-6	7	7.5	16.8	-9.27	23.8	17.2	6.64
Tim James	6	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	2	-9	18.8	16.1	2.68	15.5	17.7	-2.22
Derrick Coleman	67	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.26	2	-7	9	16.8	14.6	2.19	18.1	15.4	2.70
Matt Harpring	64	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-7	9	16.0	17.3	-1.32	17.8	17.0	0.81
Dikembe Mutombo	77	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-8	11	15.9	19.7	-3.72	17.8	16.0	1.77
Aaron McKie	74	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-5	5	16.6	14.8	1.75	17.7	16.7	1.00
Corie Blount	26	23	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	6	-17	17.5	15.8	1.67	16.9	17.8	-0.89
Speedy Claxton	77	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.40	-1	-4	3	16.4	15.9	0.50	17.2	20.4	-3.22
Raja Bell	35	32	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	9	-23	16.0	16.6	-0.62	16.1	18.5	-2.37

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	67	68	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.34	15	-10	25	15.8	24.6	-8.89	16.6	15.3	1.34
Steve Francis	77	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.39	8	-3	11	17.2	22.0	-4.84	16.4	15.7	0.68
Kelvin Cato	53	56	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.36	8	-3	11	15.3	21.4	-6.12	17.6	14.0	3.64
Kenny Thomas	62	64	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	-3	11	15.7	22.9	-7.19	16.9	14.7	2.22
Cuttino Mobley	70	71	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.37	5	0	5	16.5	23.0	-6.53	16.3	16.6	-0.32
Eddie Griffin	18	19	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	5	-5	21.8	16.4	5.37	15.4	16.6	-1.18
Oscar Torres	17	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	5	-5	21.5	16.6	4.98	15.8	16.5	-0.71
Walt Williams	8	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	7	-9	20.1	17.3	2.84	15.4	16.4	-1.00
Kevin Willis	29	29	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	10	-15	22.6	14.9	7.68	14.4	17.3	-2.85
Moochie Norris	19	17	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	0.03	-12	17	-29	25.7	15.2	10.50	14.2	16.9	-2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.92,1	94.0%
GSW 96, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.83,0.81,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.96,1,1	93.9%
MIA 78, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.99,1,1	93.4%