NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	81		Excitement	6.3 [326]		MVP	Jud Buechler (DET): +10.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	76		Comeback	2.4 [172]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -17.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jud Buechler	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	7	60%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Joe Dumars	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.01	16	57%	0.19	2	-0.09	3	67%	0.01
Bison Dele	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.07	-0.02	6	62%	0.10	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Don Reid	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jerome Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	64%	0.05	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	9	39%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.00	11	47%	-0.03	5	-0.13	10	70%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	5	58%	-0.03	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	4	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	11	36%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Haywoode Workman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	8	44%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	8	41%	-0.08	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	12	35%	-0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	0.8	27.2	15.6	22.0	1.5	35.0	128.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +58.2%

DET +10.7%

DET +7.3%

MIL -25.3%

MIL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIL	NBA	DET	MIL	NBA
this game	17.2	16.9	15.8	95.3	90.5	99.6
season	16.6	15.8		101.4	102.4
opponent	16.4	16.1		100.9	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.5	14.8	19.3	18.9	17.2
MIL	15.6	15.8	19.6	17.1	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	68	67	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.39	8	-3	11	18.0	13.9	4.09	16.1	19.7	-3.56
Joe Dumars	66	68	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.38	8	-3	11	16.8	18.6	-1.76	17.0	16.5	0.46
Jud Buechler	42	40	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.26	10	-5	15	16.5	17.9	-1.31	15.9	17.7	-1.75
Grant Hill	70	70	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.35	0	5	-5	17.2	17.2	0.01	17.2	15.3	1.90
Jerome Williams	51	48	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.22	1	4	-3	17.8	16.4	1.38	16.4	17.6	-1.20
Christian Laettner	28	29	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.12	11	-6	17	14.7	18.4	-3.72	17.3	16.6	0.67
Bison Dele	58	57	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.36	-6	11	-17	19.0	13.4	5.63	17.8	14.9	2.86
Don Reid	4	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	7	-9	17.0	17.2	-0.22	18.0	16.8	1.20
Jerry Stackhouse	38	36	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.08	-5	10	-15	15.6	18.6	-3.00	17.2	16.6	0.52

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	25	26	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.04	6	-11	17	15.8	17.3	-1.52	16.9	17.3	-0.42
Armen Gilliam	20	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-12	19	20.0	15.9	4.11	21.2	16.0	5.22
Robert Traylor	34	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-6	7	15.4	17.9	-2.50	17.2	17.2	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	42	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-9	13	17.5	16.2	1.26	16.4	18.1	-1.66
Dell Curry	8	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-1	-3	14.1	17.2	-3.03	17.0	17.2	-0.23
Ervin Johnson	39	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-1	-3	19.2	14.9	4.31	17.3	17.1	0.22
Ray Allen	73	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-5	5	16.7	18.2	-1.51	17.1	18.1	-1.01
Tim Thomas	39	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.36	1	-6	7	16.7	17.0	-0.33	17.0	17.4	-0.43
Haywoode Workman	63	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.29	-2	-3	1	16.2	18.9	-2.65	17.6	16.2	1.39
Chris Gatling	31	30	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	11	-27	16.7	17.0	-0.25	15.8	18.0	-2.23
Michael Curry	46	46	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.33	-18	13	-31	16.6	17.2	-0.58	17.2	17.2	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.07,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, DAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.77,0.64,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.47,0.46,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.09,0.18,0	94.0%
HOU 108, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.01,0	93.2%
MEM 110, MIA 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.71,0.58,0.42,0.59,0.29,0.22,0.38,0.21,0.09,0.02,0	92.3%