NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	108		Excitement	8.6 [168]		MVP	Kenny Thomas (HOU): +11.2%
Golden State Warriors	100		Comeback	2.2 [353]		LVP	Matt Bullard (HOU): -13.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	8	76%	0.17	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Bill Curley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	21	49%	0.08	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	11	52%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Steve Francis	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	0.06	-0.01	19	44%	0.08	4	-0.12	5	80%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	12	57%	0.01	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Bryce Drew	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	10	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	42%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Matt Bullard	-0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	9	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Caffey	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	57%	0.06	1	-0.04	16	62%	-0.04
Sam Jacobson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.05	0.03	18	66%	0.13	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamel Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	17	52%	0.02	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	8	58%	0.04	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	25%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	27.5	16.4	28.2	1.8	34.1	134.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +2.0%

HOU +3.2%

HOU +23.0%

HOU +18.8%

HOU +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	15.3	13.2	15.2	105.9	100.0	101.7
season	15.4	14.7		102.4	97.2
opponent	14.7	14.6		105.8	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.4	15.1	13.9	18.0	15.3
GSW	11.7	14.9	14.4	12.0	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Miller	58	59	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.22	22	-14	36	14.2	16.7	-2.46	13.5	12.7	0.81
Cuttino Mobley	58	59	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	-2	12	15.9	14.5	1.38	13.4	13.0	0.36
Steve Francis	78	75	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	1	6	15.5	14.7	0.75	13.5	12.3	1.19
Shandon Anderson	94	91	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.24	7	1	6	15.3	15.1	0.17	12.8	17.0	-4.16
Kenny Thomas	62	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	4	0	16.1	14.0	2.15	13.2	13.3	-0.08
Matt Bullard	41	37	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	14.6	15.8	-1.17	12.8	13.5	-0.68
Bryce Drew	37	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	8	-8	15.3	15.3	0.06	13.6	13.0	0.64
Walt Williams	55	54	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	11	-14	14.6	16.1	-1.49	13.3	13.1	0.27
Bill Curley	27	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	14	-20	16.2	15.0	1.23	12.4	13.5	-1.06

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	46	44	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.02	3	-11	14	14.1	12.4	1.66	15.5	15.1	0.42
Tony Farmer	7	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-6	4	11.6	13.3	-1.76	11.0	15.6	-4.55
Adonal Foyle	24	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-7	6	12.7	13.4	-0.61	13.7	15.8	-2.19
Jamel Thomas	9	9	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-2	-4	13.3	13.2	0.14	14.8	15.3	-0.56
Sam Jacobson	46	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-2	-4	13.5	13.0	0.54	14.8	15.7	-0.86
Mookie Blaylock	84	86	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-8	8	13.0	14.6	-1.61	15.4	14.6	0.86
Sam Mack	41	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	2	-12	12.4	13.8	-1.43	16.9	14.1	2.72
Vonteego Cummings	67	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	-4	0	13.9	11.9	1.94	15.2	15.5	-0.25
Jason Caffey	84	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.33	-5	-3	-2	13.2	13.2	0.03	15.6	13.2	2.40
Antawn Jamison	92	95	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.29	-9	1	-10	13.0	15.7	-2.76	15.1	18.0	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 81, MIL 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.07,0.08,0	93.2%
NOH 94, DEN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.77,0.7,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	92.5%
BKN 109, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.02,0.04,0	92.5%