NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	94		Excitement	7.5 [305]		MVP	Robert Traylor (NOH): +4.0%
Denver Nuggets	88		Comeback	3.4 [576]		LVP	Shammond Williams (DEN): -19.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Traylor	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	12	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.00
George Lynch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jerome Moiso	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	12	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Courtney Alexander	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	4	67%	0.03	2	-0.10	10	80%	0.02
Kenny Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.19	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	24	42%	-0.10	3	-0.09	9	78%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	24	48%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Predrag Savovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.05	16	56%	-0.03	1	-0.01	9	78%	0.01
Vincent Yarbrough	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	13	40%	-0.12	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	10	27%	-0.06	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	32.0	15.8	26.2	2.5	37.5	139.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +7.5%

NOH +14.0%

NOH +14.3%

NOH +10.3%

NOH +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	DEN	NBA	NOH	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	15.5	100.0	93.6	101.6
season	15.9	15.7		101.6	90.4
opponent	15.3	15.6		99.4	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.7	14.6	17.0	14.4	15.6
DEN	14.7	15.4	15.0	15.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	70	69	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.35	11	-5	16	15.3	16.4	-1.07	15.8	12.9	2.92
David Wesley	70	69	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	0	6	14.9	17.7	-2.81	15.4	14.0	1.39
George Lynch	68	66	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.02	16	-10	26	15.1	16.9	-1.75	15.7	13.5	2.22
Jamal Mashburn	84	83	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	4	-2	15.3	18.3	-3.00	14.8	16.5	-1.73
Courtney Alexander	38	38	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.40	-4	10	-14	15.5	15.7	-0.20	13.6	16.0	-2.47
Jamaal Magloire	64	64	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.25	0	6	-6	16.2	14.4	1.84	15.7	13.5	2.19
Robert Traylor	25	26	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	2	2	17.0	15.1	1.83	14.8	15.1	-0.24
Jerome Moiso	16	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	7	-8	15.6	15.6	-0.07	12.7	15.6	-2.91
Kenny Anderson	30	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	8	-10	17.8	14.6	3.21	14.1	15.5	-1.38
Stacey Augmon	5	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	8	-10	15.2	15.6	-0.44	11.8	15.2	-3.41

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Savovic	13	12	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.00	2	-8	10	14.8	15.1	-0.29	16.6	15.5	1.11
Chris Andersen	44	41	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-11	16	15.5	14.6	0.90	15.9	15.4	0.55
Vincent Yarbrough	60	61	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-2	-2	14.5	15.9	-1.35	14.9	16.9	-1.94
Rodney White	19	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-10	14	14.4	15.2	-0.82	17.8	15.1	2.79
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	26	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-6	6	14.2	15.3	-1.15	16.2	15.4	0.80
Shammond Williams	53	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.36	6	-12	18	13.5	17.0	-3.47	16.0	15.1	0.90
Juwan Howard	78	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	2	-10	15.1	14.6	0.48	15.3	17.5	-2.20
Nene	59	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.35	-8	2	-10	14.8	15.3	-0.51	15.9	15.2	0.70
Junior Harrington	58	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.18	-14	8	-22	16.1	13.2	2.87	14.8	17.0	-2.20
Donnell Harvey	60	58	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.25	-13	7	-20	16.1	13.1	3.07	15.6	15.6	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.77,0.7,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 108, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.01,0	92.5%
ATL 114, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.29,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.01,0	92.4%
SAS 88, LAC 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.05,0	92.0%