NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	99		Excitement	2.4 [761]		MVP	Jaren Jackson (SAS): +4.1%
Vancouver Grizzlies	72		Comeback	1.1 [740]		LVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): -12.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.01	0.04	11	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mario Elie	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	9	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	11	66%	0.03	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	71%	0.06	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Malik Rose	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	68%	0.01	2	-0.00	7	100%	0.01
Will Perdue	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	0	100%	0.01	2	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerard King	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	4	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sean Elliott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeJuan Wheat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	7	71%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	10	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
J.R. Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.14	-0.01	-0.11	8	23%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	16	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	13	39%	-0.02	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	8	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	26.2	13.8	25.3	1.6	28.4	121.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +32.9%

SAS +9.3%

VAN -2.5%

SAS +8.8%

SAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	VAN	NBA	SAS	VAN	NBA
this game	15.3	19.8	15.8	120.7	87.8	99.6
season	15.9	16.4		101.1	95.7
opponent	15.1	15.9		105.4	92.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.9	11.7	15.2	17.3	15.3
VAN	19.1	21.5	20.8	17.8	19.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson	44	43	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.30	26	1	25	13.0	17.9	-4.95	19.7	19.9	-0.18
David Robinson	50	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.16	20	7	13	14.7	16.3	-1.62	21.4	17.3	4.03
Avery Johnson	43	43	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	9	9	15.5	15.1	0.46	19.7	20.0	-0.37
Mario Elie	58	60	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.21	20	7	13	14.9	16.2	-1.24	20.2	18.7	1.51
Tim Duncan	51	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.19	18	9	9	14.4	16.7	-2.28	21.7	16.9	4.74
Malik Rose	31	32	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.18	12	15	-3	15.3	15.3	0.05	18.6	20.6	-2.03
Steve Kerr	31	30	0.12	0.39	-0.27	-0.09	7	20	-13	16.7	14.4	2.33	18.5	20.6	-2.10
Antonio Daniels	39	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.16	9	18	-9	15.1	15.5	-0.46	20.0	19.7	0.37
Will Perdue	23	23	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	25	-23	18.2	14.2	4.06	16.4	21.2	-4.78
Sean Elliott	31	31	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	26	-25	17.8	13.8	3.99	20.5	19.5	1.00
Gerard King	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	25	-23	16.1	15.2	0.92	13.4	20.5	-7.15

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Dehere	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-24	21	12.3	20.4	-8.09	14.4	15.4	-0.94
DeJuan Wheat	30	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.11	-6	-21	15	21.5	18.8	2.69	15.3	15.3	0.03
Rodrick Rhodes	24	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.21	-11	-16	5	16.9	21.0	-4.12	17.2	14.5	2.71
Pete Chilcutt	27	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.21	-12	-15	3	17.3	21.1	-3.72	15.7	15.1	0.61
J.R. Henderson	27	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.15	-13	-14	1	19.3	20.1	-0.85	15.2	15.3	-0.13
Cherokee Parks	39	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-20	13	22.2	17.7	4.43	15.4	15.1	0.31
Michael Smith	36	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-16	5	21.2	18.7	2.53	14.7	15.7	-1.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	55	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	-13	-1	20.1	19.3	0.85	15.3	15.2	0.13
Tony Massenburg	51	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.23	-20	-7	-13	19.6	20.2	-0.59	15.1	15.5	-0.37
Felipe Lopez	58	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.08	-16	-11	-5	21.0	16.9	4.12	14.5	17.2	-2.71
Mike Bibby	46	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.09	-18	-9	-9	19.7	20.0	-0.30	15.4	15.1	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 91, CHI 69	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MIA 103, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
DAL 103, HOU 76	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%