NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	91		Excitement	2.8 [1185]		MVP	Walter McCarty (BOS): +6.8%
Chicago Bulls	69		Comeback	1.1 [921]		LVP	Jay Williams (CHI): -10.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	9	60%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	19	49%	0.03	2	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Vin Baker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Wolkowyski	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	14	39%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	18	40%	-0.05	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Tony Delk	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	44%	-0.04	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.03	8	68%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	0.01
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	6	47%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	33%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	10	30%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	20%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	7	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	1	80%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	7	39%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.20	0.00	-0.10	14	29%	-0.07	3	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Jay Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.23	-0.00	-0.13	11	23%	-0.04	5	-0.06	4	25%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.8	28.2	14.7	29.5	1.7	27.1	128.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +31.1%

CHI -0.3%

CHI -1.1%

BOS +23.2%

CHI -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.1	13.3	15.5	89.2	68.3	101.6
season	15.6	15.0		99.3	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.3	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	15.3	13.9	17.3	15.1
CHI	16.0	14.0	11.7	11.7	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	66	61	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.19	21	1	20	14.1	16.8	-2.67	13.6	12.7	0.89
Paul Pierce	61	60	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.25	22	0	22	14.1	16.5	-2.36	15.2	10.4	4.84
Tony Battie	69	67	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.31	23	-1	24	15.1	15.1	-0.02	13.3	13.3	-0.05
Antoine Walker	66	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.26	20	2	18	15.2	14.8	0.42	14.2	11.5	2.71
Tony Delk	72	70	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.26	20	2	18	15.6	13.9	1.67	12.7	14.6	-1.91
Shammond Williams	62	63	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	17	-12	15.2	14.9	0.29	12.5	14.5	-1.99
Walter McCarty	62	64	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	15	-8	14.6	15.7	-1.10	13.1	13.6	-0.49
Vin Baker	29	30	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	21	-20	13.9	15.5	-1.65	14.5	12.8	1.73
J.R. Bremer	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	27	-32	18.9	14.5	4.41	8.3	14.0	-5.72
Bruno Sundov	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	24	-26	22.5	14.6	7.89	8.0	13.7	-5.68
Ruben Wolkowyski	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	24	-26	23.7	14.7	9.03	4.5	13.6	-9.15

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonny Baxter	22	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-30	38	8.6	14.6	-6.00	16.6	14.6	1.92
Tyson Chandler	42	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	-11	0	13.3	13.3	0.08	16.3	14.3	2.03
Fred Hoiberg	40	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-17	12	11.8	14.2	-2.42	15.0	15.1	-0.09
Eddy Curry	68	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	-8	-6	13.6	12.6	1.01	15.9	13.5	2.41
Eddie Robinson	33	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-12	2	13.8	13.1	0.70	12.9	16.1	-3.17
Jamal Crawford	49	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-14	6	13.6	13.0	0.67	14.0	16.0	-2.00
Jay Williams	52	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.16	-14	-8	-6	13.0	13.6	-0.67	16.0	14.0	2.00
Trenton Hassell	55	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.24	-17	-5	-12	14.2	12.2	1.96	15.4	14.6	0.78
Marcus Fizer	33	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-14	6	12.6	13.6	-1.01	13.5	15.9	-2.41
Jalen Rose	61	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.21	-17	-5	-12	14.2	11.8	2.42	15.1	15.0	0.09
Donyell Marshall	50	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-8	-6	14.0	12.6	1.45	14.4	15.7	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 108, MIL 80	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
WAS 107, DEN 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
MEM 112, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%