NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	108		Excitement	2.8 [1179]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +12.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	80		Comeback	1.0 [535]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -10.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.00	-0.03	13	62%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	11	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	7	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.14	0.00	0.12	10	86%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.11	11	36%	0.03	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	11	58%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	8	37%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jim McIlvaine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	3	75%	0.04	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	21	45%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	67%	0.01	4	-0.03	2	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.06	11	62%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.14	-0.00	-0.09	5	0%	-0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	15	40%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	-0.05	13	31%	-0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.5	23.4	15.3	22.6	1.7	24.2	109.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +37.0%

NJN +2.8%

MIL -6.7%

NJN +16.8%

NJN +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIL	NBA	NJN	MIL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.3	15.2	113.7	83.3	101.7
season	15.5	14.9		102.1	105.5
opponent	15.4	14.7		105.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.3	12.8	17.7	14.7	14.8
MIL	12.9	17.2	14.3	17.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	60	61	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.06	14	14	0	15.4	13.7	1.69	14.3	17.1	-2.83
Kerry Kittles	53	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.24	20	8	12	15.3	14.1	1.20	13.6	17.5	-3.88
Keith Van Horn	53	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	14	0	15.2	14.3	0.90	13.8	17.2	-3.34
Kendall Gill	51	50	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.14	15	13	2	15.0	14.6	0.45	15.7	15.0	0.66
Jamie Feick	57	58	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.21	17	11	6	15.4	13.9	1.48	17.2	12.5	4.66
Scott Burrell	47	48	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.24	16	12	4	14.1	15.5	-1.48	16.3	14.4	1.94
Lucious Harris	38	39	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.20	12	16	-4	14.0	15.4	-1.35	17.6	13.8	3.83
Johnny Newman	32	33	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.12	9	19	-10	16.1	14.2	1.89	16.4	14.8	1.60
Elliot Perry	39	39	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.15	10	18	-8	13.9	15.4	-1.51	17.1	14.2	2.88
Jim McIlvaine	27	26	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	22	-16	15.8	14.4	1.35	12.9	16.3	-3.37
Evan Eschmeyer	11	12	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.08	5	23	-18	9.4	15.5	-6.16	11.7	15.9	-4.11
Gheorghe Muresan	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	26	-24	9.6	15.2	-5.66	13.1	15.5	-2.42

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	17	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-25	22	16.3	15.1	1.15	12.2	15.3	-3.15
Vinny Del Negro	23	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.22	-8	-20	12	17.3	14.7	2.52	14.7	14.8	-0.17
Rafer Alston	43	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.24	-14	-14	0	17.2	13.8	3.34	14.3	15.2	-0.90
Scott Williams	30	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	-16	4	17.6	14.3	3.28	16.3	14.1	2.24
Tim Thomas	70	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-17	6	15.3	15.6	-0.32	15.0	14.3	0.75
Ervin Johnson	39	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.15	-15	-13	-2	13.3	16.8	-3.52	14.4	15.1	-0.64
Darvin Ham	59	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.14	-16	-12	-4	15.9	14.5	1.35	14.3	15.6	-1.37
Ray Allen	69	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	-11	-6	14.7	17.0	-2.25	15.5	13.0	2.49
Sam Cassell	68	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	-12	-4	14.1	18.4	-4.25	14.9	14.6	0.36
Glenn Robinson	62	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.37	-28	0	-28	15.0	16.0	-1.02	14.8	14.9	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 91, CHI 69	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
CHI 110, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
DAL 119, LAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%