inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 119 Excitement3.2 [1126] MVPErick Strickland (DAL): +9.7%
Los Angeles Clippers 106 Comeback1.1 [894] LVPDerek Anderson (LAC): -11.9%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Erick Strickland0.100,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.110.000.021180%0.102-0.00887%0.01
Cedric Ceballos0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.011363%0.081-0.024100%0.02
Steve Nash0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.00-0.00487%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Michael Finley0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.021561%0.054-0.021100%0.00
Sean Rooks0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.00-0.05457%0.0310.006100%0.02
Greg Buckner0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01550%0.0100.002100%0.01
Damon Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bruno Sundov0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.010,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.00556%-0.0100.00650%-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.000.000.021459%0.033-0.046100%0.03
Hubert Davis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.01550%0.011-0.0300%0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charles R. Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.120.000.044137%0.0810.0000%0.00
Keith Closs0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.00571%0.0500.00757%0.00
Brian Skinner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.00357%0.0200.0010%-0.01
Eric Piatkowski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.050.000.05582%-0.001-0.001100%0.00
Michael Olowokandi0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00862%0.033-0.0400%0.00
Troy Hudson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.080.00-0.06825%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Anthony Avent0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tyrone Nesby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.01940%-0.0400.002100%0.00
Maurice Taylor0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.000.021650%-0.023-0.04250%-0.01
Eric Murdock0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.01-0.000.09856%-0.061-0.022100%0.00
Lamar Odom0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.16-0.00-0.041240%-0.063-0.051136%-0.05
Derek Anderson0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.17-0.01-0.061128%-0.064-0.063100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.52.330.016.032.32.331.3139.7
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +35.5%
DAL +11.8%
LAC -9.1%
DAL +8.9%
DAL +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALLACNBADALLACNBA
this game13.614.115.2113.3102.9101.7
season14.815.6104.295.5
opponent14.314.8107.1104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL12.712.611.418.013.6
LAC15.016.213.911.214.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Finley85830.480.020.46-0.1622-93113.015.8-2.8114.412.81.58
Dirk Nowitzki66660.440.060.37-0.2724-113512.415.6-3.2115.711.44.29
Cedric Ceballos67660.360.140.22-0.2019-62511.916.6-4.7514.513.41.12
Shawn Bradley32320.260.240.02-0.2417-42111.214.6-3.3814.613.90.63
Erick Strickland72710.250.25-0.010.19211-913.314.1-0.7613.216.2-2.94
Sean Rooks62590.200.30-0.100.11310-714.512.32.2313.814.5-0.65
Steve Nash29300.180.32-0.140.0358-314.813.11.7416.413.23.16
Greg Buckner47460.170.33-0.160.37-720-2715.412.13.2412.315.6-3.25
Hubert Davis49470.170.33-0.170.34-619-2515.411.93.5213.814.4-0.62
Damon Jones980.000.50-0.500.15-518-2318.313.15.2110.514.4-3.93
Bruno Sundov770.000.50-0.500.26-922-3116.413.43.0610.414.4-3.97

Los Angeles Clippers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Avent1312-0.05-0.450.400.07-4-9515.114.01.0913.613.60.01
Brian Skinner2424-0.05-0.450.40-0.298-212914.014.2-0.1116.712.64.12
Tyrone Nesby3435-0.08-0.420.330.03-4-9513.514.4-0.9815.212.82.40
Charles R. Jones2828-0.13-0.370.250.02-5-8314.613.90.6614.613.21.46
Keith Closs3129-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-4-9514.114.2-0.0913.613.60.07
Troy Hudson4242-0.18-0.320.14-0.06-4-9514.214.00.1915.612.23.33
Eric Piatkowski4443-0.20-0.300.110.04-8-5-314.613.80.8115.312.42.93
Derek Anderson6366-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.19-4-9513.615.0-1.4312.914.6-1.70
Eric Murdock6163-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.06-9-4-514.014.2-0.1912.215.6-3.33
Maurice Taylor5861-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.01-11-2-914.114.2-0.0912.614.9-2.34
Michael Olowokandi6266-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.18-6-7114.313.80.4912.615.2-2.60
Lamar Odom5556-0.36-0.14-0.230.05-141-1514.214.00.2012.315.1-2.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 108, MIL 800.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.9%
GSW 101, MEM 840.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%
SAS 103, LAL 820.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%