NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	92		Excitement	4.4 [569]		MVP	Sam Mitchell (MIN): +9.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Comeback	1.1 [525]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -11.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George McCloud	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	7	72%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	60%	0.00	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rex Chapman	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	39%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Alvin Sims	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	1	40%	-0.03	2	-0.04	3	0%	-0.04
Jason Kidd	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	0.04	21	55%	-0.03	4	-0.09	11	82%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.05	-0.06	22	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	75%	0.09	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrae Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	16	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.10	-0.17	0.00	-0.07	25	30%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	1.7	27.4	15.5	23.3	1.7	40.3	130.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +27.8%

PHX -10.0%

MIN +14.9%

MIN +14.2%

MIN +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	15.8	94.8	100.0	99.6
season	15.3	15.0		102.7	98.6
opponent	15.9	15.9		98.6	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.3	15.3	16.8	11.9	15.0
MIN	10.4	15.3	17.5	16.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Morris	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-7	9	11.2	15.3	-4.10	20.3	14.2	6.04
Pat Garrity	26	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.13	1	-6	7	17.0	14.3	2.67	17.2	13.8	3.38
Alvin Sims	9	9	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	3	-11	15.0	15.0	-0.01	10.3	15.1	-4.79
Luc Longley	18	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	4	-13	18.4	14.2	4.22	12.3	15.2	-2.88
Rex Chapman	53	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	3	-11	16.5	13.2	3.30	13.9	15.6	-1.75
George McCloud	51	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.33	2	-7	9	13.6	16.6	-2.96	15.8	13.4	2.45
Tom Gugliotta	79	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-7	9	15.0	14.9	0.15	14.8	13.9	0.97
Jason Kidd	90	89	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.42	3	-8	11	14.9	16.6	-1.68	15.1	9.7	5.37
Danny Manning	68	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-1	-3	13.1	19.4	-6.23	14.3	15.6	-1.24
Clifford Robinson	85	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	1	-7	15.5	11.8	3.63	13.9	19.8	-5.97

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mitchell	89	90	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.25	8	-3	11	14.3	18.5	-4.16	15.3	10.9	4.48
Terrell Brandon	90	89	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	1	3	14.5	17.1	-2.65	14.9	16.5	-1.62
Kevin Garnett	79	77	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	-1	7	14.5	15.4	-0.94	15.1	14.5	0.64
Joe Smith	72	73	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	2	1	14.3	15.7	-1.40	14.9	15.4	-0.54
Anthony Peeler	80	80	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	3	-1	15.2	12.4	2.75	15.5	12.5	3.01
Tom Hammonds	45	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	6	-7	16.4	13.2	3.12	14.2	15.7	-1.56
Bobby Jackson	24	25	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	1	3	13.8	15.0	-1.18	13.8	15.4	-1.63
Andrae Patterson	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	6	-7	13.8	14.7	-0.90	16.1	14.9	1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.87,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
LAL 103, MEM 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
DEN 93, GSW 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%