NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	3.9 [1026]		MVP	MarShon Brooks (LAL): +13.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	108		Comeback	1.1 [1264]		LVP	Kent Bazemore (LAL): -10.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
MarShon Brooks	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.00	0.01	6	100%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.01	0.05	10	79%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.00	0.07	14	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.04	14	53%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.07	12	67%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	6	0%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	0.05	9	54%	-0.04	4	-0.07	8	50%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.02	10	72%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	10	61%	0.09	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	13	65%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	58%	0.09	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	14	43%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	8	35%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	60%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	11	32%	-0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.6	28.5	15.7	23.2	1.7	35.3	131.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +9.6%

MEM +4.8%

MEM +25.6%

MEM +9.0%

MEM +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	13.9	15.8	15.1	107.3	110.2	105.2
season	14.0	16.4		102.9	104.5
opponent	15.2	14.8		103.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.2	11.9	14.1	15.6	13.9
MEM	15.8	14.3	18.4	15.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Sacre	14	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	17.8	13.2	4.59	12.0	16.4	-4.44
Jordan Hill	13	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	1	-7	13.8	13.9	-0.02	14.8	16.0	-1.19
Ryan Kelly	20	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	1	-7	15.6	13.4	2.19	13.5	16.5	-3.04
Kendall Marshall	49	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	2	-9	13.1	14.7	-1.56	17.6	14.1	3.52
Pau Gasol	69	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.35	4	-9	13	13.1	15.9	-2.82	16.8	13.4	3.38
MarShon Brooks	39	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	0	-5	15.2	13.0	2.17	14.3	16.9	-2.60
Jordan Farmar	47	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.33	2	-7	9	14.7	13.1	1.56	14.1	17.6	-3.52
Jodie Meeks	76	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-5	5	13.0	17.2	-4.28	16.0	15.1	0.90
Wesley Johnson	76	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.34	1	-6	7	13.4	15.6	-2.19	16.5	13.5	3.04
Kent Bazemore	77	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	0	-5	14.1	12.9	1.14	16.4	13.4	2.96

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	45	42	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.20	7	-2	9	13.6	17.7	-4.16	14.6	13.3	1.26
Zach Randolph	57	58	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	-5	15	16.9	14.3	2.60	12.7	15.6	-2.92
Nick Calathes	47	43	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	-6	17	14.9	16.7	-1.84	14.8	13.1	1.64
Tony Allen	55	53	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	3	-1	13.6	18.6	-5.03	13.9	13.8	0.18
Kosta Koufos	26	24	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	-5	15	16.3	15.6	0.74	17.5	12.6	4.90
Marc Gasol	67	67	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	7	-9	15.6	16.3	-0.76	12.5	17.0	-4.44
Tayshaun Prince	43	43	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	2	1	18.6	13.6	5.03	13.8	13.9	-0.18
Mike Conley	51	53	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.30	-6	11	-17	16.7	14.9	1.84	13.1	14.8	-1.64
Courtney Lee	57	57	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.22	-4	9	-13	16.7	14.6	2.14	12.9	15.3	-2.47
James Johnson	42	40	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.24	-6	11	-17	15.6	16.0	-0.41	16.3	12.1	4.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 113, PHX 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.53,0.44,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.95,1,1,1	95.9%
NJN 85, DEN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.88,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1	95.6%
PHX 92, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.87,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1	95.5%