NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	85		Excitement	4.4 [919]		MVP	Allen Iverson (DEN): +14.9%
Denver Nuggets	100		Comeback	1.0 [1183]		LVP	Sean Williams (NJN): -10.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Boone	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	12	48%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Darrell Armstrong	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.02	-0.05	3	50%	0.03	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.02	-0.06	16	36%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	10	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	16	50%	0.04	4	-0.06	6	67%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	12	52%	-0.01	5	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Sean Williams	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	7	12%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.06	-0.02	21	53%	0.16	1	-0.01	15	87%	0.02
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	16	61%	0.08	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.02	15	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.02
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	8	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	7	19%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	10	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	30.2	15.4	24.5	2.6	36.1	137.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +11.7%

DEN +14.9%

DEN +1.4%

DEN +16.4%

DEN +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DEN	NBA	NJN	DEN	NBA
this game	14.8	13.9	15.4	85.0	99.0	105.7
season	15.4	13.3		101.8	108.2
opponent	15.2	15.5		105.4	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.8	16.9	14.8	13.8	14.8
DEN	13.4	12.4	15.2	14.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	10	10	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-18	21	12.0	15.1	-3.12	15.4	13.7	1.72
Darrell Armstrong	21	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.14	-10	-5	-5	17.3	14.2	3.13	12.5	14.2	-1.74
Marcus Williams	20	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	-6	-3	17.6	14.1	3.55	13.3	14.0	-0.65
Malik Allen	32	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-12	9	17.2	13.7	3.59	13.4	14.0	-0.64
Sean Williams	32	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.10	-11	-4	-7	15.1	14.7	0.46	12.4	14.5	-2.12
Antoine Wright	53	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-14	13	14.0	15.7	-1.68	13.8	13.9	-0.12
Jason Kidd	84	85	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-9	3	14.3	17.3	-2.98	14.1	12.5	1.61
Richard Jefferson	90	92	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-7	-1	15.0	13.2	1.79	14.2	10.7	3.50
Josh Boone	71	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.02	-15	0	-15	14.0	16.9	-2.94	14.2	12.9	1.29
Vince Carter	87	88	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	0	-15	14.3	18.1	-3.76	14.0	13.1	0.89

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	76	77	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	2	11	14.3	12.5	1.82	14.5	15.7	-1.21
Allen Iverson	90	90	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	4	7	14.0	12.4	1.67	14.6	16.3	-1.66
Anthony Carter	81	79	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.05	15	0	15	13.8	14.1	-0.37	15.0	14.1	0.90
Eduardo Najera	40	37	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.21	20	-5	25	13.6	14.0	-0.42	18.7	12.5	6.22
J.R. Smith	43	42	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	8	-1	14.1	13.7	0.46	16.1	13.9	2.17
Linas Kleiza	69	70	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	12	-9	13.8	13.9	-0.13	13.5	17.9	-4.46
Yakhouba Diawara	23	22	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.01	6	9	-3	12.5	14.3	-1.78	15.2	14.7	0.53
Marcus Camby	83	83	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	15	-15	13.7	14.5	-0.79	13.7	20.2	-6.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.88,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 103, MEM 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.6%
BOS 83, GSW 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
NJN 93, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	95.3%