NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Excitement	4.4 [957]		MVP	Josh Jackson (PHX): +14.2%
Phoenix Suns	122		Comeback	1.3 [809]		LVP	Collin Sexton (CLE): -13.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ante Zizic	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.00	6	71%	0.14	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.03
Jordan Clarkson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.00	16	57%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	8	68%	0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Brandon Knight	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	56%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	7	60%	-0.01	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
David Nwaba	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	12	12%	-0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Collin Sexton	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.06	0.04	23	44%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	11	73%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	10	86%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.00	9	75%	0.12	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.02	0.02	7	76%	0.11	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03
Dragan Bender	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	55%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	100%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ray Spalding	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.04	18	58%	0.04	6	-0.10	7	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	28.5	14.5	28.2	2.0	27.2	128.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +51.6%

PHX +6.4%

CLE -4.5%

CLE -7.8%

PHX +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHX	NBA	CLE	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	14.2	14.3	116.5	124.5	109.3
season	15.5	14.4		106.3	104.8
opponent	14.0	13.9		114.0	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.2	16.5	13.9	15.9	15.4
PHX	13.0	13.5	14.9	15.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ante Zizic	29	29	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.25	11	-20	31	12.8	16.5	-3.73	14.7	14.0	0.73
Collin Sexton	78	78	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.31	6	-15	21	15.2	16.2	-0.98	14.2	14.0	0.22
Channing Frye	7	7	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	-2	-5	15.9	15.3	0.52	13.0	14.3	-1.26
Marquese Chriss	20	20	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-7	5	16.2	15.1	1.11	14.1	14.2	-0.09
Cedi Osman	64	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-11	13	15.9	14.3	1.62	14.7	13.3	1.39
Larry Nance Jr.	58	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-12	15	16.6	13.6	2.98	14.1	14.2	-0.10
Jordan Clarkson	67	66	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.37	4	-13	17	14.8	16.7	-1.97	14.5	13.6	0.86
David Nwaba	34	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	2	-13	13.5	16.4	-2.93	14.0	14.3	-0.31
Tristan Thompson	41	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	2	-13	16.7	14.4	2.31	14.0	14.3	-0.22
Nik Stauskas	37	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	0	-9	14.2	16.1	-1.91	13.6	14.5	-0.93
Brandon Knight	50	52	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	0.26	-31	22	-53	16.6	14.1	2.45	13.7	14.7	-0.90

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richaun Holmes	47	46	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.04	15	-6	21	14.7	13.7	0.93	16.7	14.2	2.44
Mikal Bridges	58	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	0	9	14.3	13.9	0.42	15.8	14.8	1.01
Jamal Crawford	60	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-3	15	14.4	13.8	0.58	15.0	16.1	-1.07
Josh Jackson	71	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	2	5	14.1	14.5	-0.43	14.9	16.5	-1.54
Jimmer Fredette	12	12	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	0	9	13.5	14.3	-0.77	16.6	15.2	1.38
Troy Daniels	51	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	10	-11	13.9	14.4	-0.53	14.5	16.4	-1.92
Dragan Bender	58	55	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	11	-13	13.3	15.4	-2.03	15.9	14.6	1.33
Devin Booker	72	72	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.29	-6	15	-21	14.3	13.8	0.45	14.8	17.1	-2.36
Elie Okobo	27	24	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	12	-15	14.7	14.0	0.78	17.0	14.8	2.22
Ray Spalding	10	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	15	-21	16.6	13.9	2.70	10.5	16.0	-5.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.53,0.44,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 103, MEM 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.9%
PHX 92, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.87,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1	95.3%
NJN 85, DEN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.88,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1	94.9%