NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	88		Excitement	4.5 [948]		MVP	Nazr Mohammed (NYK): +6.6%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	1.1 [1188]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -17.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	75%	0.07	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	65%	0.02	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Marc Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	11	36%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.01	0.01	18	57%	0.02	9	-0.19	15	80%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.03	10	69%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	9	58%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	19	52%	0.04	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	39%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	4	90%	0.07	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	10	36%	-0.00	3	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	-0.06	12	46%	0.01	5	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	29.3	16.4	27.5	2.6	29.5	134.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +18.4%

PHI -1.0%

NYK +4.9%

NYK +22.2%

NYK +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	15.5	92.6	99.0	104.0
season	13.9	15.8		101.1	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.8		106.5	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.5	14.6	15.7	13.7	14.6
NYK	14.8	14.2	15.7	16.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Davis	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-14	20	10.4	15.1	-4.61	16.7	15.2	1.48
Corliss Williamson	30	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.17	2	-10	12	14.6	14.6	-0.08	14.7	15.7	-1.02
Aaron McKie	30	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-9	10	15.0	14.4	0.55	14.4	15.9	-1.49
Brian Skinner	28	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-3	-2	15.3	14.3	0.99	12.8	16.5	-3.73
Andre Iguodala	71	70	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-4	0	14.9	13.9	0.94	15.3	15.6	-0.36
Marc Jackson	58	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	1	-10	14.9	14.1	0.80	16.4	13.8	2.68
Allen Iverson	85	86	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-5	2	14.4	16.4	-1.99	15.0	18.4	-3.38
Willie Green	63	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-2	-4	14.2	15.5	-1.28	16.3	13.6	2.70
Kenny Thomas	65	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	2	-12	14.6	14.6	0.08	15.7	14.7	1.02
Kyle Korver	36	38	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	4	-16	15.1	14.3	0.74	15.7	15.1	0.60

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	89	89	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	2	4	15.2	17.5	-2.32	14.4	17.2	-2.72
Kurt Thomas	83	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.23	7	1	6	15.4	15.4	0.02	14.5	15.3	-0.78
Anfernee Hardaway	43	41	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.13	8	0	8	15.3	15.4	-0.17	15.5	13.9	1.61
Trevor Ariza	41	40	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	3	2	15.4	15.4	-0.01	14.9	14.4	0.57
Michael Sweetney	33	31	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	0	8	15.1	15.5	-0.38	16.2	13.9	2.29
Jamal Crawford	74	72	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	6	-4	15.6	14.5	1.17	14.1	16.1	-1.99
Nazr Mohammed	65	65	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.15	0	8	-8	15.2	15.7	-0.43	14.1	15.8	-1.77
Jerome Williams	6	7	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	2	4	14.2	15.5	-1.28	19.0	14.3	4.73
Tim Thomas	51	49	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	10	-12	15.9	14.8	1.04	13.9	15.3	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 76, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
PHX 92, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.87,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1	95.9%
NJN 89, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%