NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	67		Excitement	7.7 [169]		MVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): +5.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	72		Comeback	1.4 [422]		LVP	Chris Childs (NYK): -37.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Kurt Thomas	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	13	41%	-0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14	-0.06	-0.06	0.03	13	53%	0.07	4	-0.21	4	100%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.06	0.00	6	17%	-0.18	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.05
Patrick Ewing	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.26	-0.10	-0.16	-0.01	8	46%	-0.16	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.08
Chris Childs	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.37,-0.37	-0.14	-0.23	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	5	-0.32	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	16	55%	0.11	4	-0.12	8	75%	0.08
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	6	44%	-0.15	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.18
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.28,-0.3	-0.30	-0.09	-0.21	-0.00	17	48%	-0.08	4	-0.23	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	28.5	15.7	26.1	2.5	46.5	146.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +19.0%

PHI +15.5%

PHI +18.4%

NYK -3.4%

PHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	15.5	16.9	15.8	75.3	80.9	99.6
season	16.0	15.6		97.0	97.0
opponent	15.9	16.6		94.8	95.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.0	14.5	17.5	15.2	15.5
PHI	17.0	16.2	16.8	17.4	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	30	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-5	5	17.6	14.5	3.11	15.2	17.6	-2.39
Kurt Thomas	30	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-2	-1	14.4	16.1	-1.67	19.0	15.8	3.13
Chris Dudley	33	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-5	5	18.8	13.6	5.22	15.5	17.6	-2.08
Chris Childs	43	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-8	11	14.6	16.3	-1.70	16.7	17.0	-0.30
Charlie Ward	47	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	5	-15	16.0	15.0	1.05	16.3	17.4	-1.09
Patrick Ewing	56	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	0	-5	13.6	18.8	-5.22	17.6	15.5	2.08
Larry Johnson	72	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	0	-5	15.4	15.9	-0.47	17.5	14.3	3.23
Allan Houston	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-2	-1	15.3	16.8	-1.48	17.1	15.6	1.47
Latrell Sprewell	58	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-3	1	15.7	15.2	0.43	16.1	18.4	-2.28

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	73	74	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	-2	9	17.1	15.9	1.12	15.2	16.9	-1.64
Allen Iverson	83	82	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.30	3	2	1	17.2	12.3	4.85	14.7	24.9	-10.15
Theo Ratliff	64	63	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.33	0	5	-5	17.4	15.4	2.02	15.8	14.8	1.04
Larry Hughes	51	49	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	0	5	15.3	18.9	-3.65	16.5	14.3	2.19
Matt Geiger	63	67	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	-3	11	17.6	15.1	2.51	15.0	16.9	-1.86
Tyrone Hill	41	39	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.30	-1	6	-7	16.0	17.6	-1.63	17.4	14.0	3.34
Harvey Grant	31	31	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	0	5	18.1	16.2	1.91	14.6	16.0	-1.37
Aaron McKie	31	32	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	8	-11	15.8	17.4	-1.56	17.1	14.6	2.48
Rick Mahorn	8	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	4	-3	14.9	17.0	-2.17	9.6	16.1	-6.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 99, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.76,0.64,0.78,0.74,1	92.5%
DEN 108, TOR 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.83,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.82,0.75,0.55,0.76,0.63,1	92.1%
SAS 87, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.69,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.63,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.68,0.45,0.68,0.72,1	91.7%