NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Excitement	8.2 [287]		MVP	Collin Sexton (CLE): +29.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	1.2 [1066]		LVP	Jordan Clarkson (CLE): -19.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.16	0.13	-0.01	20	65%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	19	47%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	82%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Brandon Knight	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Deng Adel	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ante Zizic	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	12	48%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.03
Channing Frye	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	21%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.21,-0.12,-0.2	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	20	30%	-0.20	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.08	0.01	16	65%	0.22	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.02	15	55%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	7	86%	0.13	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.08	-0.01	9	33%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	79%	0.09	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	16	47%	-0.01	6	-0.12	4	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	12	46%	-0.08	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.7	24.2	14.5	25.4	2.6	33.3	124.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +20.6%

PHI +9.7%

PHI +47.8%

CLE -29.6%

PHI +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	12.8	14.3	98.0	105.0	109.3
season	15.5	14.0		106.3	110.9
opponent	14.1	13.9		108.1	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.0	15.3	15.4	15.2	15.7
PHI	10.3	12.9	13.9	14.2	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	28	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-9	11	15.1	16.0	-0.93	12.8	12.8	0.04
Deng Adel	35	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-6	5	14.1	16.6	-2.45	13.7	12.2	1.52
David Nwaba	64	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-3	-1	16.5	14.5	2.02	12.4	13.4	-1.08
Brandon Knight	56	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-2	-3	16.5	14.8	1.74	12.7	12.9	-0.25
Nik Stauskas	36	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-4	1	15.0	16.2	-1.20	13.8	12.2	1.60
Collin Sexton	75	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-1	-5	15.9	15.2	0.74	12.4	13.8	-1.37
Jordan Clarkson	62	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.34	1	-8	9	14.4	17.9	-3.55	13.4	11.6	1.82
Cedi Osman	76	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	3	-13	16.6	13.2	3.38	12.0	14.9	-2.84
Ante Zizic	73	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	2	-11	16.0	15.1	0.93	12.8	12.8	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Simmons	79	80	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.23	11	-4	15	13.0	12.1	0.87	15.7	16.0	-0.26
JJ Redick	72	73	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-3	13	13.1	12.0	1.08	15.8	15.7	0.09
Joel Embiid	72	73	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.22	9	-2	11	12.9	12.4	0.45	16.0	15.1	0.93
Tobias Harris	82	82	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	3	1	12.6	13.6	-0.99	16.0	14.6	1.43
James Ennis III	46	48	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.02	13	-6	19	12.3	13.1	-0.82	17.3	14.4	2.91
Mike Scott	64	63	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.24	0	7	-7	13.2	12.1	1.13	14.7	17.5	-2.78
Boban Marjanovic	29	28	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.07	-2	9	-11	12.4	12.9	-0.45	15.1	16.0	-0.93
T.J. McConnell	22	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	11	-15	12.1	13.0	-0.87	16.0	15.7	0.26
Jonathon Simmons	39	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.11	-6	13	-19	12.4	13.0	-0.55	14.9	16.2	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.76,0.64,0.78,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 67, PHI 72	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.58,1	92.5%
WAS 85, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.84,1	92.0%
CLE 84, ORL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.96,1	91.6%